Trader consensus on Polymarket favors John Ternus at 31.5% implied probability as Apple's next CEO, propelled by a March 22 Bloomberg deep-dive profiling him as Tim Cook's "nice guy" heir apparent—highlighting his senior vice president of hardware engineering role, reputation for reversing product quality declines, and broad internal support. Recent media echoes from The New York Times and 9to5Mac reinforce this, citing his growing visibility in key events and product pushes like AI wearables. Lower odds for Greg Joswiak (marketing SVP, 6.5%), Craig Federighi (software SVP, 5.5%), and Sabih Khan (operations SVP, 4.5%) reflect narrower scopes amid no firm Cook retirement timeline, despite his mid-March denial of near-term exit. WWDC 2026 and Q2 earnings could shift sentiment with leadership hints.