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Next James Bond actor?

icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

Callum Turner 29%

No Bond chosen 20.4%

Michael B Jordan 17.5%

Theo James 16.8%

Polymarket

$18,881 Vol.

Callum Turner 29%

No Bond chosen 20.4%

Michael B Jordan 17.5%

Theo James 16.8%

Polymarket

$18,881 Vol.

Callum Turner

$2,285 Vol.

29%

No Bond chosen

$6,197 Vol.

20%

Michael B Jordan

$404 Vol.

18%

Theo James

$410 Vol.

17%

Timothee Chalamet

$380 Vol.

15%

Josh O'Connor

$1,944 Vol.

12%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$2,716 Vol.

11%

James Norton

$400 Vol.

10%

Pierce Brosnan

$351 Vol.

10%

Tom Hardy

$325 Vol.

8%

Jacob Elordi

$836 Vol.

11%

Jack Lowdon

$347 Vol.

25%

Paul Mescal

$645 Vol.

17%

Tom Holland

$684 Vol.

3%

Robert James-Collier

$303 Vol.

24%

Henry Cavill

$279 Vol.

1%

Harris Dickinson

$376 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched odds in the next James Bond actor market stem from an active but unresolved casting search for the 26th film, now under Amazon MGM Studios with director Denis Villeneuve, where Callum Turner’s slim lead reflects sustained industry buzz rather than confirmation. Turner, the current media frontrunner, gained momentum from George Clooney’s public endorsement and strong reviews for his charismatic turn in the August 2026 rom-com One Night Only, though the actor has repeatedly downplayed the speculation. Competing names like Jacob Elordi and Aaron Taylor-Johnson remain in play alongside lesser-known British actors, while former casting director Debbie McWilliams has cautioned against overly familiar faces. With screen tests reportedly advancing in August and no official announcement expected until late 2026 or beyond, traders are pricing in continued uncertainty over the secretive process.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$18,881
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched odds in the next James Bond actor market stem from an active but unresolved casting search for the 26th film, now under Amazon MGM Studios with director Denis Villeneuve, where Callum Turner’s slim lead reflects sustained industry buzz rather than confirmation. Turner, the current media frontrunner, gained momentum from George Clooney’s public endorsement and strong reviews for his charismatic turn in the August 2026 rom-com One Night Only, though the actor has repeatedly downplayed the speculation. Competing names like Jacob Elordi and Aaron Taylor-Johnson remain in play alongside lesser-known British actors, while former casting director Debbie McWilliams has cautioned against overly familiar faces. With screen tests reportedly advancing in August and no official announcement expected until late 2026 or beyond, traders are pricing in continued uncertainty over the secretive process.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$18,881
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Next James Bond actor?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 17 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Callum Turner" a 28%, seguito da "Jack Lowdon" a 25%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 28¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 28% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Next James Bond actor?" ha generato $18.9K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il May 18, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Next James Bond actor?", esplora i 17 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Next James Bond actor?" è "Callum Turner" a 28%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 28% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Jack Lowdon" a 25%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Next James Bond actor?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.