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Politica·Primarie

NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Politica·Primarie

NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner

Adriano Espaillat 62%

Darializa Avila Chevalier 31%

Oscar Romero 4.1%

James Felton Keith 2.4%

Polymarket

$12,080 Vol.

Adriano Espaillat 62%

Darializa Avila Chevalier 31%

Oscar Romero 4.1%

James Felton Keith 2.4%

Polymarket

$12,080 Vol.

Adriano Espaillat

$2,880 Vol.

62%

Darializa Avila Chevalier

$1,245 Vol.

31%

Oscar Romero

$3,170 Vol.

4%

James Felton Keith

$977 Vol.

2%

Theo Chino-Tavarez

$1,047 Vol.

1%

Megan Rodriguez

$899 Vol.

1%

Matt Miller

$1,165 Vol.

<1%

Jaleel Amador

$697 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat commands 62% trader consensus to win the NY-13 Democratic primary on June 23, anchored by his established incumbency since 2017, strong Latino community ties in the Upper Manhattan-Bronx district, and key endorsements from Latino Victory Fund, Congressional Black Caucus PAC, and CHC BOLD PAC.** DSA-backed challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier follows at 31%, fueled by Justice Democrats support, union activism as a UAW member, and recent field reports from early April noting Espaillat's surprisingly low name recognition among voters—echoing momentum from progressive Zohran Mamdani's district dominance in the 2025 mayoral race, though Mamdani has not endorsed. Absent public polls, markets reflect Espaillat's institutional edge over the leftist upset bid, with others like Oscar Romero at 4% showing minimal traction ahead of potential forums.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$12,080
Data di fine
23 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat commands 62% trader consensus to win the NY-13 Democratic primary on June 23, anchored by his established incumbency since 2017, strong Latino community ties in the Upper Manhattan-Bronx district, and key endorsements from Latino Victory Fund, Congressional Black Caucus PAC, and CHC BOLD PAC.** DSA-backed challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier follows at 31%, fueled by Justice Democrats support, union activism as a UAW member, and recent field reports from early April noting Espaillat's surprisingly low name recognition among voters—echoing momentum from progressive Zohran Mamdani's district dominance in the 2025 mayoral race, though Mamdani has not endorsed. Absent public polls, markets reflect Espaillat's institutional edge over the leftist upset bid, with others like Oscar Romero at 4% showing minimal traction ahead of potential forums.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$12,080
Data di fine
23 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Domande frequenti

"NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 8 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Adriano Espaillat" a 62%, seguito da "Darializa Avila Chevalier" a 31%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 62¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 62% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner" ha generato $12.1K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Dec 19, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner", esplora i 8 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner" è "Adriano Espaillat" a 62%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 62% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Darializa Avila Chevalier" a 31%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.