OpenAI’s market-implied odds of reaching a $1T+ valuation by year-end 2026 sit at 70.7% primarily because investors have initiated early talks for a potential pre-IPO round at $1.2T–$1.5T, well above the $852B post-money level set in its record $122B March financing. Recent launches of GPT-5.6 and Astra have driven annualized revenue past $40B, while demand for tools like Codex continues to expand the developer ecosystem and justify aggressive infrastructure spending. Major backers including Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank have signaled sustained commitment through prior rounds, and secondary market activity reflects ongoing private-market enthusiasm. With an IPO now targeted for 2027 amid AI safety priorities, traders are pricing in the likelihood of another large private raise or secondary transactions clearing the trillion-dollar threshold before December.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoOpenAI $1T+ valutazione nel 2026?
OpenAI $1T+ valutazione nel 2026?
Sì
72% probabilità
$28,458 Vol.
$28,458 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
72% probabilità
$28,458 Vol.
$28,458 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s market-implied odds of reaching a $1T+ valuation by year-end 2026 sit at 70.7% primarily because investors have initiated early talks for a potential pre-IPO round at $1.2T–$1.5T, well above the $852B post-money level set in its record $122B March financing. Recent launches of GPT-5.6 and Astra have driven annualized revenue past $40B, while demand for tools like Codex continues to expand the developer ecosystem and justify aggressive infrastructure spending. Major backers including Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank have signaled sustained commitment through prior rounds, and secondary market activity reflects ongoing private-market enthusiasm. With an IPO now targeted for 2027 amid AI safety priorities, traders are pricing in the likelihood of another large private raise or secondary transactions clearing the trillion-dollar threshold before December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 29, 2026, 3:34 PM ET
Volume
$28,458Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:34 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s market-implied odds of reaching a $1T+ valuation by year-end 2026 sit at 70.7% primarily because investors have initiated early talks for a potential pre-IPO round at $1.2T–$1.5T, well above the $852B post-money level set in its record $122B March financing. Recent launches of GPT-5.6 and Astra have driven annualized revenue past $40B, while demand for tools like Codex continues to expand the developer ecosystem and justify aggressive infrastructure spending. Major backers including Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank have signaled sustained commitment through prior rounds, and secondary market activity reflects ongoing private-market enthusiasm. With an IPO now targeted for 2027 amid AI safety priorities, traders are pricing in the likelihood of another large private raise or secondary transactions clearing the trillion-dollar threshold before December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$28,458Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:34 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s market-implied odds of reaching a $1T+ valuation by year-end 2026 sit at 70.7% primarily because investors have initiated early talks for a potential pre-IPO round at $1.2T–$1.5T, well above the $852B post-money level set in its record $122B March financing. Recent launches of GPT-5.6 and Astra have driven annualized revenue past $40B, while demand for tools like Codex continues to expand the developer ecosystem and justify aggressive infrastructure spending. Major backers including Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank have signaled sustained commitment through prior rounds, and secondary market activity reflects ongoing private-market enthusiasm. With an IPO now targeted for 2027 amid AI safety priorities, traders are pricing in the likelihood of another large private raise or secondary transactions clearing the trillion-dollar threshold before December.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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