The Senate’s repeated failure to advance the SAVE Act or SAVE America Act versions of H.R. 22 explains the strong trader consensus against enactment in 2026. House passage occurred in April 2025 and again in February 2026, yet Senate votes on amendments, including to DHS funding and the NDAA, fell short at 48–50 in June, with four Republicans joining Democrats to block progress. Senate Majority Leader John Thune has declined to schedule further floor consideration absent 60 votes to overcome the filibuster, and attempts to attach the measure to must-pass legislation have stalled. Recent Republican discussions of reconciliation for core provisions face a narrow session window before the November midterms and uncertain implementation timelines. These legislative realities sustain the elevated probability that the bill will not reach the president’s desk this year.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHR 22 (SAVE Act) convertito in legge nel 2026?
HR 22 (SAVE Act) convertito in legge nel 2026?
Sì
7% probabilità
$191,443 Vol.
$191,443 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
7% probabilità
$191,443 Vol.
$191,443 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Senate’s repeated failure to advance the SAVE Act or SAVE America Act versions of H.R. 22 explains the strong trader consensus against enactment in 2026. House passage occurred in April 2025 and again in February 2026, yet Senate votes on amendments, including to DHS funding and the NDAA, fell short at 48–50 in June, with four Republicans joining Democrats to block progress. Senate Majority Leader John Thune has declined to schedule further floor consideration absent 60 votes to overcome the filibuster, and attempts to attach the measure to must-pass legislation have stalled. Recent Republican discussions of reconciliation for core provisions face a narrow session window before the November midterms and uncertain implementation timelines. These legislative realities sustain the elevated probability that the bill will not reach the president’s desk this year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Volume
$191,443Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Senate’s repeated failure to advance the SAVE Act or SAVE America Act versions of H.R. 22 explains the strong trader consensus against enactment in 2026. House passage occurred in April 2025 and again in February 2026, yet Senate votes on amendments, including to DHS funding and the NDAA, fell short at 48–50 in June, with four Republicans joining Democrats to block progress. Senate Majority Leader John Thune has declined to schedule further floor consideration absent 60 votes to overcome the filibuster, and attempts to attach the measure to must-pass legislation have stalled. Recent Republican discussions of reconciliation for core provisions face a narrow session window before the November midterms and uncertain implementation timelines. These legislative realities sustain the elevated probability that the bill will not reach the president’s desk this year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$191,443Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...The Senate’s repeated failure to advance the SAVE Act or SAVE America Act versions of H.R. 22 explains the strong trader consensus against enactment in 2026. House passage occurred in April 2025 and again in February 2026, yet Senate votes on amendments, including to DHS funding and the NDAA, fell short at 48–50 in June, with four Republicans joining Democrats to block progress. Senate Majority Leader John Thune has declined to schedule further floor consideration absent 60 votes to overcome the filibuster, and attempts to attach the measure to must-pass legislation have stalled. Recent Republican discussions of reconciliation for core provisions face a narrow session window before the November midterms and uncertain implementation timelines. These legislative realities sustain the elevated probability that the bill will not reach the president’s desk this year.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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