The Senate's 60-vote filibuster threshold remains the primary barrier to enactment of H.R. 22, the SAVE Act, which would mandate documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration. After narrow House passage in 2025 and renewed consideration in early 2026, the measure advanced only to a 51-48 procedural vote in the upper chamber before stalling, with insufficient Democratic support and at least one Republican defection preventing cloture. Traders assign a 92% probability against signing in 2026 because the current partisan breakdown and lack of bipartisan consensus have produced no viable path through the Senate, despite administration backing and repeated House action. No scheduled votes or negotiations in the remaining months of the session have altered that assessment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$168,224 Vol.
$168,224 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$168,224 Vol.
$168,224 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Senate's 60-vote filibuster threshold remains the primary barrier to enactment of H.R. 22, the SAVE Act, which would mandate documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration. After narrow House passage in 2025 and renewed consideration in early 2026, the measure advanced only to a 51-48 procedural vote in the upper chamber before stalling, with insufficient Democratic support and at least one Republican defection preventing cloture. Traders assign a 92% probability against signing in 2026 because the current partisan breakdown and lack of bipartisan consensus have produced no viable path through the Senate, despite administration backing and repeated House action. No scheduled votes or negotiations in the remaining months of the session have altered that assessment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Volume
$168,224Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Senate's 60-vote filibuster threshold remains the primary barrier to enactment of H.R. 22, the SAVE Act, which would mandate documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration. After narrow House passage in 2025 and renewed consideration in early 2026, the measure advanced only to a 51-48 procedural vote in the upper chamber before stalling, with insufficient Democratic support and at least one Republican defection preventing cloture. Traders assign a 92% probability against signing in 2026 because the current partisan breakdown and lack of bipartisan consensus have produced no viable path through the Senate, despite administration backing and repeated House action. No scheduled votes or negotiations in the remaining months of the session have altered that assessment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$168,224Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Senate's 60-vote filibuster threshold remains the primary barrier to enactment of H.R. 22, the SAVE Act, which would mandate documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration. After narrow House passage in 2025 and renewed consideration in early 2026, the measure advanced only to a 51-48 procedural vote in the upper chamber before stalling, with insufficient Democratic support and at least one Republican defection preventing cloture. Traders assign a 92% probability against signing in 2026 because the current partisan breakdown and lack of bipartisan consensus have produced no viable path through the Senate, despite administration backing and repeated House action. No scheduled votes or negotiations in the remaining months of the session have altered that assessment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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