Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in a February 2026 U.S.-Israeli strike, after which his son Mojtaba assumed the supreme leader role amid ongoing regional conflict. The primary @khamenei_ir account now carries statements attributed to the "martyred Leader," with activity limited to occasional official releases rather than regular personal or real-time commentary. This structural shift, combined with questions over Mojtaba Khamenei's health and limited public appearances through mid-2026, has kept posting volumes low on the main handle. No major diplomatic, military, or domestic events scheduled for early August align with patterns that would prompt frequent updates, supporting trader consensus around minimal weekly activity. Historical account behavior under similar conditions shows sparse output outside crisis peaks, reinforcing the positioning of low-range outcomes as the dominant view reflected in current pricing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoKhamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?
Khamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?
<5 65%
5-9 42%
10-14 41%
15-19 41%
NUOVO
NUOVO
11 ago 2026
<5
65%
5-9
42%
10-14
41%
15-19
41%
20-24
40%
25-29
-
30-34
-
35-39
-
40-44
42%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
<5 65%
5-9 42%
10-14 41%
15-19 41%
NUOVO
NUOVO
11 ago 2026
<5
$0 Vol.
65%
5-9
$0 Vol.
42%
10-14
$0 Vol.
41%
15-19
$0 Vol.
41%
20-24
$10 Vol.
40%
25-29
$10 Vol.
-
30-34
$10 Vol.
-
35-39
$10 Vol.
-
40-44
$20 Vol.
42%
45-49
$20 Vol.
1%
50-54
$20 Vol.
1%
55-59
$20 Vol.
1%
60+
$20 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in a February 2026 U.S.-Israeli strike, after which his son Mojtaba assumed the supreme leader role amid ongoing regional conflict. The primary @khamenei_ir account now carries statements attributed to the "martyred Leader," with activity limited to occasional official releases rather than regular personal or real-time commentary. This structural shift, combined with questions over Mojtaba Khamenei's health and limited public appearances through mid-2026, has kept posting volumes low on the main handle. No major diplomatic, military, or domestic events scheduled for early August align with patterns that would prompt frequent updates, supporting trader consensus around minimal weekly activity. Historical account behavior under similar conditions shows sparse output outside crisis peaks, reinforcing the positioning of low-range outcomes as the dominant view reflected in current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$140Data di fine
11 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in a February 2026 U.S.-Israeli strike, after which his son Mojtaba assumed the supreme leader role amid ongoing regional conflict. The primary @khamenei_ir account now carries statements attributed to the "martyred Leader," with activity limited to occasional official releases rather than regular personal or real-time commentary. This structural shift, combined with questions over Mojtaba Khamenei's health and limited public appearances through mid-2026, has kept posting volumes low on the main handle. No major diplomatic, military, or domestic events scheduled for early August align with patterns that would prompt frequent updates, supporting trader consensus around minimal weekly activity. Historical account behavior under similar conditions shows sparse output outside crisis peaks, reinforcing the positioning of low-range outcomes as the dominant view reflected in current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$140Data di fine
11 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in a February 2026 U.S.-Israeli strike, after which his son Mojtaba assumed the supreme leader role amid ongoing regional conflict. The primary @khamenei_ir account now carries statements attributed to the "martyred Leader," with activity limited to occasional official releases rather than regular personal or real-time commentary. This structural shift, combined with questions over Mojtaba Khamenei's health and limited public appearances through mid-2026, has kept posting volumes low on the main handle. No major diplomatic, military, or domestic events scheduled for early August align with patterns that would prompt frequent updates, supporting trader consensus around minimal weekly activity. Historical account behavior under similar conditions shows sparse output outside crisis peaks, reinforcing the positioning of low-range outcomes as the dominant view reflected in current pricing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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