The high probability assigned to the SAVE Act (H.R. 22) failing to become law in 2026 stems from repeated House passage without corresponding Senate action. Versions of the bill cleared the House in April 2025 and February 2026, yet Senate consideration has stalled amid a 60-vote filibuster threshold and unified Democratic opposition. With Republicans holding 53 seats, cross-aisle support has not materialized, as seen in March 2026 debates where procedural votes fell short. Attempts to attach provisions to other measures, such as the NDAA in July 2026, have not advanced the core citizenship-verification requirements to enactment. No scheduled votes or bipartisan negotiations indicate a viable path to presidential signature before year-end, aligning trader consensus with legislative gridlock.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$183,635 Vol.
$183,635 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$183,635 Vol.
$183,635 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The high probability assigned to the SAVE Act (H.R. 22) failing to become law in 2026 stems from repeated House passage without corresponding Senate action. Versions of the bill cleared the House in April 2025 and February 2026, yet Senate consideration has stalled amid a 60-vote filibuster threshold and unified Democratic opposition. With Republicans holding 53 seats, cross-aisle support has not materialized, as seen in March 2026 debates where procedural votes fell short. Attempts to attach provisions to other measures, such as the NDAA in July 2026, have not advanced the core citizenship-verification requirements to enactment. No scheduled votes or bipartisan negotiations indicate a viable path to presidential signature before year-end, aligning trader consensus with legislative gridlock.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Volume
$183,635Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The high probability assigned to the SAVE Act (H.R. 22) failing to become law in 2026 stems from repeated House passage without corresponding Senate action. Versions of the bill cleared the House in April 2025 and February 2026, yet Senate consideration has stalled amid a 60-vote filibuster threshold and unified Democratic opposition. With Republicans holding 53 seats, cross-aisle support has not materialized, as seen in March 2026 debates where procedural votes fell short. Attempts to attach provisions to other measures, such as the NDAA in July 2026, have not advanced the core citizenship-verification requirements to enactment. No scheduled votes or bipartisan negotiations indicate a viable path to presidential signature before year-end, aligning trader consensus with legislative gridlock.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$183,635Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The high probability assigned to the SAVE Act (H.R. 22) failing to become law in 2026 stems from repeated House passage without corresponding Senate action. Versions of the bill cleared the House in April 2025 and February 2026, yet Senate consideration has stalled amid a 60-vote filibuster threshold and unified Democratic opposition. With Republicans holding 53 seats, cross-aisle support has not materialized, as seen in March 2026 debates where procedural votes fell short. Attempts to attach provisions to other measures, such as the NDAA in July 2026, have not advanced the core citizenship-verification requirements to enactment. No scheduled votes or bipartisan negotiations indicate a viable path to presidential signature before year-end, aligning trader consensus with legislative gridlock.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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