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Elezioni·Primarie

SC-01 Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Elezioni·Primarie

SC-01 Republican Primary Winner

Alex Pelbath 41%

Mark Smith 39%

Sam McCown 26%

Jay Byars 7.0%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Alex Pelbath 41%

Mark Smith 39%

Sam McCown 26%

Jay Byars 7.0%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Alex Pelbath

$1,441 Vol.

41%

Mark Smith

$1,791 Vol.

39%

Sam McCown

$1,043 Vol.

26%

Jay Byars

$444 Vol.

7%

Jack Ellison

$504 Vol.

5%

Jenny Costa Honeycutt

$461 Vol.

4%

Justin Myers

$529 Vol.

1%

Logan Cunningham

$664 Vol.

1%

Dan Brown

$437 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the open-seat Republican primary for South Carolina's 1st Congressional District, trader consensus reflects a dead heat between state Rep. Mark Smith (42.5%) and retired Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath (41.5%), driven by Smith's recent Beaufort County GOP straw poll victory and local legislative experience clashing with Pelbath's high-profile veteran status as the pilot of America's final Kabul evacuation flight. Physician Sam McCown's top fundraising—over $1.2 million raised—bolsters his 28.5% share, fragmenting the 13-candidate field and preventing a clear frontrunner. With the June 9 primary nearing a potential June 23 runoff absent a majority, endorsements from figures like Trump, upcoming debates, or new polls could tip the balance in this closely contested race.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$7,314
Data di fine
9 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In the open-seat Republican primary for South Carolina's 1st Congressional District, trader consensus reflects a dead heat between state Rep. Mark Smith (42.5%) and retired Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath (41.5%), driven by Smith's recent Beaufort County GOP straw poll victory and local legislative experience clashing with Pelbath's high-profile veteran status as the pilot of America's final Kabul evacuation flight. Physician Sam McCown's top fundraising—over $1.2 million raised—bolsters his 28.5% share, fragmenting the 13-candidate field and preventing a clear frontrunner. With the June 9 primary nearing a potential June 23 runoff absent a majority, endorsements from figures like Trump, upcoming debates, or new polls could tip the balance in this closely contested race.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$7,314
Data di fine
9 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Domande frequenti

"SC-01 Republican Primary Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 9 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Alex Pelbath" a 41%, seguito da "Mark Smith" a 39%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 41¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 41% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"SC-01 Republican Primary Winner" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Dec 18, 2025. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "SC-01 Republican Primary Winner", esplora i 9 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "SC-01 Republican Primary Winner" è "Alex Pelbath" a 41%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 41% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Mark Smith" a 39%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "SC-01 Republican Primary Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.