Recent polls from July 2026 show a tight contest in Tocantins, with Professora Dorinha (União Brasil) and Vicentinho Júnior (PSDB) trading narrow leads or technical ties in stimulated scenarios around 33-36%, while Laurez Moreira, Ataídes Oliveira, and others trail in single digits amid high undecided shares exceeding 50% in spontaneous tests. Multiple pre-candidates, including Prof. Witer Naves, Du Pereira, and Subtenente Luiz Carlos, fragment voter preferences across parties, limiting any single contender's consolidation ahead of the October first-round vote. This fragmentation, combined with ongoing party negotiations and limited recent campaign events that could shift blocs, sustains the close trader pricing near even odds for top names. Scheduled polling releases and alliance announcements in coming weeks could widen gaps if one candidate consolidates support.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLaurez Moreira 28%
Du Pereira 24%
Prof. Witer Naves 24%
Professora Dorinha 24%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ott 2026
Laurez Moreira
28%
Du Pereira
24%
Prof. Witer Naves
24%
Professora Dorinha
24%
Vicentinho Júnior
23%
Ataides de Oliveira
22%
Subtenente Luiz Carlos
17%
Laurez Moreira 28%
Du Pereira 24%
Prof. Witer Naves 24%
Professora Dorinha 24%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ott 2026
Laurez Moreira
$3 Vol.
28%
Du Pereira
$24 Vol.
24%
Prof. Witer Naves
$3 Vol.
24%
Professora Dorinha
$43 Vol.
24%
Vicentinho Júnior
$3 Vol.
23%
Ataides de Oliveira
$3 Vol.
22%
Subtenente Luiz Carlos
$71 Vol.
17%
The Tocantins gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from July 2026 show a tight contest in Tocantins, with Professora Dorinha (União Brasil) and Vicentinho Júnior (PSDB) trading narrow leads or technical ties in stimulated scenarios around 33-36%, while Laurez Moreira, Ataídes Oliveira, and others trail in single digits amid high undecided shares exceeding 50% in spontaneous tests. Multiple pre-candidates, including Prof. Witer Naves, Du Pereira, and Subtenente Luiz Carlos, fragment voter preferences across parties, limiting any single contender's consolidation ahead of the October first-round vote. This fragmentation, combined with ongoing party negotiations and limited recent campaign events that could shift blocs, sustains the close trader pricing near even odds for top names. Scheduled polling releases and alliance announcements in coming weeks could widen gaps if one candidate consolidates support.
The Tocantins gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:39 AM ET
Volume
$147Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Tocantins gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from July 2026 show a tight contest in Tocantins, with Professora Dorinha (União Brasil) and Vicentinho Júnior (PSDB) trading narrow leads or technical ties in stimulated scenarios around 33-36%, while Laurez Moreira, Ataídes Oliveira, and others trail in single digits amid high undecided shares exceeding 50% in spontaneous tests. Multiple pre-candidates, including Prof. Witer Naves, Du Pereira, and Subtenente Luiz Carlos, fragment voter preferences across parties, limiting any single contender's consolidation ahead of the October first-round vote. This fragmentation, combined with ongoing party negotiations and limited recent campaign events that could shift blocs, sustains the close trader pricing near even odds for top names. Scheduled polling releases and alliance announcements in coming weeks could widen gaps if one candidate consolidates support.
The Tocantins gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$147Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls from July 2026 show a tight contest in Tocantins, with Professora Dorinha (União Brasil) and Vicentinho Júnior (PSDB) trading narrow leads or technical ties in stimulated scenarios around 33-36%, while Laurez Moreira, Ataídes Oliveira, and others trail in single digits amid high undecided shares exceeding 50% in spontaneous tests. Multiple pre-candidates, including Prof. Witer Naves, Du Pereira, and Subtenente Luiz Carlos, fragment voter preferences across parties, limiting any single contender's consolidation ahead of the October first-round vote. This fragmentation, combined with ongoing party negotiations and limited recent campaign events that could shift blocs, sustains the close trader pricing near even odds for top names. Scheduled polling releases and alliance announcements in coming weeks could widen gaps if one candidate consolidates support.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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