Trader consensus on Polymarket has overwhelmingly locked in President Trump's job approval rating at 39.0–39.4% for April 24, 2026, precisely matching Nate Silver Bulletin's daily polling average of 39% approve (green trend line), the market's primary resolution source. This commanding position stems from a fresh batch of polls released in the past week—Economist/YouGov at 38%, NBC News/SurveyMonkey at 37%, Reuters/Ipsos at 36%, and AP-NORC showing economic approval near 30%—driving net approval to a second-term low of -18.8 amid voter discontent over inflation, soaring gas prices (65% blame per Quinnipiac), and the ongoing Iran war. While near-certain, a rare retroactive revision to Silver Bulletin or fallback to RealClearPolitics average could theoretically shift resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato39.0–39.4 100.0%
<38.5 <1%
38.5–38.9 <1%
39.5–39.9 <1%
$59,339 Vol.
$59,339 Vol.
25 apr 2026
<38.5
No
38.5–38.9
No
39.0–39.4
Yes
39.5–39.9
No
40.0–40.4
No
40.5+
No
39.0–39.4 100.0%
<38.5 <1%
38.5–38.9 <1%
39.5–39.9 <1%
$59,339 Vol.
$59,339 Vol.
25 apr 2026
<38.5
$5,655 Vol.
No
38.5–38.9
$14,857 Vol.
No
39.0–39.4
$17,551 Vol.
Yes
39.5–39.9
$9,431 Vol.
No
40.0–40.4
$8,849 Vol.
No
40.5+
$2,997 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 24, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket has overwhelmingly locked in President Trump's job approval rating at 39.0–39.4% for April 24, 2026, precisely matching Nate Silver Bulletin's daily polling average of 39% approve (green trend line), the market's primary resolution source. This commanding position stems from a fresh batch of polls released in the past week—Economist/YouGov at 38%, NBC News/SurveyMonkey at 37%, Reuters/Ipsos at 36%, and AP-NORC showing economic approval near 30%—driving net approval to a second-term low of -18.8 amid voter discontent over inflation, soaring gas prices (65% blame per Quinnipiac), and the ongoing Iran war. While near-certain, a rare retroactive revision to Silver Bulletin or fallback to RealClearPolitics average could theoretically shift resolution.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 24, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercato aperto: Apr 17, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
Volume
$59,339Data di fine
25 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 17, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 24, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket has overwhelmingly locked in President Trump's job approval rating at 39.0–39.4% for April 24, 2026, precisely matching Nate Silver Bulletin's daily polling average of 39% approve (green trend line), the market's primary resolution source. This commanding position stems from a fresh batch of polls released in the past week—Economist/YouGov at 38%, NBC News/SurveyMonkey at 37%, Reuters/Ipsos at 36%, and AP-NORC showing economic approval near 30%—driving net approval to a second-term low of -18.8 amid voter discontent over inflation, soaring gas prices (65% blame per Quinnipiac), and the ongoing Iran war. While near-certain, a rare retroactive revision to Silver Bulletin or fallback to RealClearPolitics average could theoretically shift resolution.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 24, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$59,339Data di fine
25 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 17, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has overwhelmingly locked in President Trump's job approval rating at 39.0–39.4% for April 24, 2026, precisely matching Nate Silver Bulletin's daily polling average of 39% approve (green trend line), the market's primary resolution source. This commanding position stems from a fresh batch of polls released in the past week—Economist/YouGov at 38%, NBC News/SurveyMonkey at 37%, Reuters/Ipsos at 36%, and AP-NORC showing economic approval near 30%—driving net approval to a second-term low of -18.8 amid voter discontent over inflation, soaring gas prices (65% blame per Quinnipiac), and the ongoing Iran war. While near-certain, a rare retroactive revision to Silver Bulletin or fallback to RealClearPolitics average could theoretically shift resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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