Trader consensus favors Jeffrey Kessler at 50.5% implied probability to win West Virginia's Democratic U.S. Senate primary on May 12, driven by his prominent profile as former state Senate President and 19-year legislator, bolstering name recognition and institutional support among low-turnout primary voters in this deep-red state. Challenger Zachary Shrewsbury follows closely at 39.5%, gaining traction from a sharp Polymarket price spike on April 15 that narrowed the gap, likely reflecting perceptions of his grassroots momentum from a 2024 Democratic Senate primary bid despite no public polls or major endorsements emerging in the past 30 days. Minor candidates trail amid stagnant developments, with early voting underway potentially amplifying organizational strength in this closely contested nomination race against incumbent Republican Shelley Moore Capito.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoJeffrey Kessler 53%
Zachary Shrewsbury 40%
Rachel Anderson 2.6%
Thornton Cooper 1.0%
$57,485 Vol.
$57,485 Vol.
Jeffrey Kessler
53%
Zachary Shrewsbury
40%
Rachel Anderson
3%
Thornton Cooper
1%
Rio Phillips
<1%
Jeffrey Kessler 53%
Zachary Shrewsbury 40%
Rachel Anderson 2.6%
Thornton Cooper 1.0%
$57,485 Vol.
$57,485 Vol.
Jeffrey Kessler
53%
Zachary Shrewsbury
40%
Rachel Anderson
3%
Thornton Cooper
1%
Rio Phillips
<1%
If no 2026 West Virginia Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the West Virginia Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercato aperto: Dec 15, 2025, 8:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 West Virginia Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the West Virginia Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Jeffrey Kessler at 50.5% implied probability to win West Virginia's Democratic U.S. Senate primary on May 12, driven by his prominent profile as former state Senate President and 19-year legislator, bolstering name recognition and institutional support among low-turnout primary voters in this deep-red state. Challenger Zachary Shrewsbury follows closely at 39.5%, gaining traction from a sharp Polymarket price spike on April 15 that narrowed the gap, likely reflecting perceptions of his grassroots momentum from a 2024 Democratic Senate primary bid despite no public polls or major endorsements emerging in the past 30 days. Minor candidates trail amid stagnant developments, with early voting underway potentially amplifying organizational strength in this closely contested nomination race against incumbent Republican Shelley Moore Capito.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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