LIBRE – Liberty and Democracy holds commanding trader consensus at 100% implied probability for winning the most governorships in Bolivia's 2026 subnational elections, as official Tribunal Supremo Electoral results confirm its candidates secured the plurality across the nine departments following the March 22 first-round vote and April 19 runoffs. This dominance stems from opposition fragmentation after the MAS's 2025 national decline and President Rodrigo Paz's centrist victory, enabling LIBRE's conservative appeal in key races like Santa Cruz (Juan Pablo Velasco), Chuquisaca (Luis Ayllón), and Pando amid economic crisis and anti-incumbent sentiment. Paz allies claimed three governorships (La Paz, Tarija, Beni), MAS one (Cochabamba), and independents the rest. With certified outcomes, only rare legal challenges, recounts, or disqualifications could realistically alter resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日リーブル–自由と民主主義（LIBRE） 100.0%
国民同盟（AP） <1%
社会主義運動（MAS-IPSP） <1%
キリスト教民主党（PDC） <1%
$2,063 Vol.
$2,063 Vol.
2026/03/22
リーブル–自由と民主主義（LIBRE）
はい
国民同盟（AP）
いいえ
社会主義運動（MAS-IPSP）
いいえ
キリスト教民主党（PDC）
いいえ
統一ブロック（UNIDAD）
いいえ
自治ボリビア・スーマテ（APBスーマテ）
いいえ
リーブル–自由と民主主義（LIBRE） 100.0%
国民同盟（AP） <1%
社会主義運動（MAS-IPSP） <1%
キリスト教民主党（PDC） <1%
$2,063 Vol.
$2,063 Vol.
2026/03/22
リーブル–自由と民主主義（LIBRE）
$256 Vol.
はい
国民同盟（AP）
$444 Vol.
いいえ
社会主義運動（MAS-IPSP）
$350 Vol.
いいえ
キリスト教民主党（PDC）
$320 Vol.
いいえ
統一ブロック（UNIDAD）
$451 Vol.
いいえ
自治ボリビア・スーマテ（APBスーマテ）
$242 Vol.
いいえ
Bolivia’s gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.
This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).LIBRE – Liberty and Democracy holds commanding trader consensus at 100% implied probability for winning the most governorships in Bolivia's 2026 subnational elections, as official Tribunal Supremo Electoral results confirm its candidates secured the plurality across the nine departments following the March 22 first-round vote and April 19 runoffs. This dominance stems from opposition fragmentation after the MAS's 2025 national decline and President Rodrigo Paz's centrist victory, enabling LIBRE's conservative appeal in key races like Santa Cruz (Juan Pablo Velasco), Chuquisaca (Luis Ayllón), and Pando amid economic crisis and anti-incumbent sentiment. Paz allies claimed three governorships (La Paz, Tarija, Beni), MAS one (Cochabamba), and independents the rest. With certified outcomes, only rare legal challenges, recounts, or disqualifications could realistically alter resolution.
Bolivia’s gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.
This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.
This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
マーケット開始日： Jan 6, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
音量
$2,063終了日
2026/03/22マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 5:25 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Bolivia’s gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.
This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).LIBRE – Liberty and Democracy holds commanding trader consensus at 100% implied probability for winning the most governorships in Bolivia's 2026 subnational elections, as official Tribunal Supremo Electoral results confirm its candidates secured the plurality across the nine departments following the March 22 first-round vote and April 19 runoffs. This dominance stems from opposition fragmentation after the MAS's 2025 national decline and President Rodrigo Paz's centrist victory, enabling LIBRE's conservative appeal in key races like Santa Cruz (Juan Pablo Velasco), Chuquisaca (Luis Ayllón), and Pando amid economic crisis and anti-incumbent sentiment. Paz allies claimed three governorships (La Paz, Tarija, Beni), MAS one (Cochabamba), and independents the rest. With certified outcomes, only rare legal challenges, recounts, or disqualifications could realistically alter resolution.
Bolivia’s gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on March 22, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.
This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most gubernatorial elections for Bolivia’s departments during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Bolivia’s departments include the following:
La Paz, Santa Cruz, Cochabamba, Oruro, Potosí, Tarija, Beni, Pando, and Chuquisaca.
A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of gubernatorial elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name (not abbreviation) comes first in alphabetical order.
This market includes any potential second round. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections aren’t known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Bolivian gubernatorial elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
音量
$2,063終了日
2026/03/22マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 5:25 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
LIBRE – Liberty and Democracy holds commanding trader consensus at 100% implied probability for winning the most governorships in Bolivia's 2026 subnational elections, as official Tribunal Supremo Electoral results confirm its candidates secured the plurality across the nine departments following the March 22 first-round vote and April 19 runoffs. This dominance stems from opposition fragmentation after the MAS's 2025 national decline and President Rodrigo Paz's centrist victory, enabling LIBRE's conservative appeal in key races like Santa Cruz (Juan Pablo Velasco), Chuquisaca (Luis Ayllón), and Pando amid economic crisis and anti-incumbent sentiment. Paz allies claimed three governorships (La Paz, Tarija, Beni), MAS one (Cochabamba), and independents the rest. With certified outcomes, only rare legal challenges, recounts, or disqualifications could realistically alter resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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