Trader consensus heavily favors Democratic Party Rep. Chun Jae-soo at 80% implied probability to win the June 3, 2026 Busan mayoral election, driven by recent polls showing him leading incumbent People Power Party Mayor Park Heong-joon by double digits—such as 48% to 35% in a Busan MBC survey on April 14 and 45% to 35% in a JTBC poll post-nomination. Chun's clearance in a bribery probe last week removed a key legal risk, bolstering his momentum amid opposition gains in this conservative stronghold. Park, confirmed as PPP candidate on April 11 after defeating Rep. Joo Jin-woo in the primary, trails as incumbency fails to offset polling deficits. Rebuilding Korea Party's Cho Kuk, at 0.7%, stepped back after Democratic Party discouragement to avoid splitting votes. Remaining candidates hold negligible shares in this likely two-way race.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日チョン・ジェス 80%
パク・ヒョンジュン 18%
チョ・グク <1%
パク・ソンフン <1%
$399,932 Vol.
$399,932 Vol.

チョン・ジェス
80%

パク・ヒョンジュン
18%

チョ・グク
1%

パク・ソンフン
<1%

キム・ドゥオプ
<1%

ホン・スンホン
<1%

チョ・ギョンテ
<1%

チェ・インホ
<1%

イ・ジェソン
<1%

キム・ヨンチュン
<1%

ソ・ビョンス
<1%

パク・ジェホ
<1%
チョン・ジェス 80%
パク・ヒョンジュン 18%
チョ・グク <1%
パク・ソンフン <1%
$399,932 Vol.
$399,932 Vol.

チョン・ジェス
80%

パク・ヒョンジュン
18%

チョ・グク
1%

パク・ソンフン
<1%

キム・ドゥオプ
<1%

ホン・スンホン
<1%

チョ・ギョンテ
<1%

チェ・インホ
<1%

イ・ジェソン
<1%

キム・ヨンチュン
<1%

ソ・ビョンス
<1%

パク・ジェホ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
マーケット開始日: Nov 12, 2025, 7:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Democratic Party Rep. Chun Jae-soo at 80% implied probability to win the June 3, 2026 Busan mayoral election, driven by recent polls showing him leading incumbent People Power Party Mayor Park Heong-joon by double digits—such as 48% to 35% in a Busan MBC survey on April 14 and 45% to 35% in a JTBC poll post-nomination. Chun's clearance in a bribery probe last week removed a key legal risk, bolstering his momentum amid opposition gains in this conservative stronghold. Park, confirmed as PPP candidate on April 11 after defeating Rep. Joo Jin-woo in the primary, trails as incumbency fails to offset polling deficits. Rebuilding Korea Party's Cho Kuk, at 0.7%, stepped back after Democratic Party discouragement to avoid splitting votes. Remaining candidates hold negligible shares in this likely two-way race.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問