Brazil’s Senate rejected a April 2026 CPI report recommending impeachment proceedings against three STF justices after the government replaced members hours before the vote, ending the most recent formal effort. Impeachment of sitting justices requires a two-thirds Senate majority and faces longstanding procedural and political hurdles, including recent STF moves to limit standing for such complaints. With the 2026 congressional elections still months away and no active floor proceedings underway, traders assign only a 3.1% chance of any removal before 2027. A post-election Senate realignment or major new scandal could reopen pathways, yet the compressed timeline and institutional safeguards keep such outcomes remote in the near term.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$82,649 Vol.
$82,649 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$82,649 Vol.
$82,649 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil’s Senate rejected a April 2026 CPI report recommending impeachment proceedings against three STF justices after the government replaced members hours before the vote, ending the most recent formal effort. Impeachment of sitting justices requires a two-thirds Senate majority and faces longstanding procedural and political hurdles, including recent STF moves to limit standing for such complaints. With the 2026 congressional elections still months away and no active floor proceedings underway, traders assign only a 3.1% chance of any removal before 2027. A post-election Senate realignment or major new scandal could reopen pathways, yet the compressed timeline and institutional safeguards keep such outcomes remote in the near term.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
音量
$82,649終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil’s Senate rejected a April 2026 CPI report recommending impeachment proceedings against three STF justices after the government replaced members hours before the vote, ending the most recent formal effort. Impeachment of sitting justices requires a two-thirds Senate majority and faces longstanding procedural and political hurdles, including recent STF moves to limit standing for such complaints. With the 2026 congressional elections still months away and no active floor proceedings underway, traders assign only a 3.1% chance of any removal before 2027. A post-election Senate realignment or major new scandal could reopen pathways, yet the compressed timeline and institutional safeguards keep such outcomes remote in the near term.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$82,649終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Brazil’s Senate rejected a April 2026 CPI report recommending impeachment proceedings against three STF justices after the government replaced members hours before the vote, ending the most recent formal effort. Impeachment of sitting justices requires a two-thirds Senate majority and faces longstanding procedural and political hurdles, including recent STF moves to limit standing for such complaints. With the 2026 congressional elections still months away and no active floor proceedings underway, traders assign only a 3.1% chance of any removal before 2027. A post-election Senate realignment or major new scandal could reopen pathways, yet the compressed timeline and institutional safeguards keep such outcomes remote in the near term.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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