**No at 91.3% reflects the high procedural and political barriers to removing any STF justice before 2027.** Brazil’s Senate holds exclusive authority under the Constitution and Law 1.079/1950 to process and convict justices for crimes of responsibility, requiring a two-thirds vote (54 of 81 senators)—a threshold never met in history. As of early September 2026, Senate President Davi Alcolumbre has declined to advance any of the 109 pending requests, most targeting Justice Alexandre de Moraes amid recent revelations of his communications with banker Daniel Vorcaro in the Banco Master case. Alcolumbre has described the volume as “not normal” while signaling he will wait for post-election Senate composition after the October 2026 votes. Lula-aligned majorities and internal STF handling of related disputes further limit near-term momentum, consistent with past patterns where such petitions stall at the Senate leadership stage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
9% 確率
$87,605 Vol.
$87,605 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
9% 確率
$87,605 Vol.
$87,605 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No at 91.3% reflects the high procedural and political barriers to removing any STF justice before 2027.** Brazil’s Senate holds exclusive authority under the Constitution and Law 1.079/1950 to process and convict justices for crimes of responsibility, requiring a two-thirds vote (54 of 81 senators)—a threshold never met in history. As of early September 2026, Senate President Davi Alcolumbre has declined to advance any of the 109 pending requests, most targeting Justice Alexandre de Moraes amid recent revelations of his communications with banker Daniel Vorcaro in the Banco Master case. Alcolumbre has described the volume as “not normal” while signaling he will wait for post-election Senate composition after the October 2026 votes. Lula-aligned majorities and internal STF handling of related disputes further limit near-term momentum, consistent with past patterns where such petitions stall at the Senate leadership stage.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
音量
$87,605終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No at 91.3% reflects the high procedural and political barriers to removing any STF justice before 2027.** Brazil’s Senate holds exclusive authority under the Constitution and Law 1.079/1950 to process and convict justices for crimes of responsibility, requiring a two-thirds vote (54 of 81 senators)—a threshold never met in history. As of early September 2026, Senate President Davi Alcolumbre has declined to advance any of the 109 pending requests, most targeting Justice Alexandre de Moraes amid recent revelations of his communications with banker Daniel Vorcaro in the Banco Master case. Alcolumbre has described the volume as “not normal” while signaling he will wait for post-election Senate composition after the October 2026 votes. Lula-aligned majorities and internal STF handling of related disputes further limit near-term momentum, consistent with past patterns where such petitions stall at the Senate leadership stage.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$87,605終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...**No at 91.3% reflects the high procedural and political barriers to removing any STF justice before 2027.** Brazil’s Senate holds exclusive authority under the Constitution and Law 1.079/1950 to process and convict justices for crimes of responsibility, requiring a two-thirds vote (54 of 81 senators)—a threshold never met in history. As of early September 2026, Senate President Davi Alcolumbre has declined to advance any of the 109 pending requests, most targeting Justice Alexandre de Moraes amid recent revelations of his communications with banker Daniel Vorcaro in the Banco Master case. Alcolumbre has described the volume as “not normal” while signaling he will wait for post-election Senate composition after the October 2026 votes. Lula-aligned majorities and internal STF handling of related disputes further limit near-term momentum, consistent with past patterns where such petitions stall at the Senate leadership stage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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