Brazil's Senate has received over 100 impeachment petitions against STF justices, including dozens targeting Alexandre de Moraes, yet Senate President Davi Alcolumbre has consistently shelved them without advancement. A recent congressional inquiry recommended proceedings against Gilmar Mendes, Dias Toffoli, and Moraes, but such referrals lack binding force and face a constitutional requirement of two-thirds Senate approval (54 votes) for conviction. Lula-aligned senators currently provide a reliable blocking majority, while an STF ruling has further restricted standing to initiate cases. Brazil has never removed a sitting STF justice through this process. A shift in Senate composition after the October 2026 elections or an unforeseen procedural breakthrough could theoretically alter the outlook before 2027, though both remain remote under present conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$82,649 Vol.
$82,649 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$82,649 Vol.
$82,649 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil's Senate has received over 100 impeachment petitions against STF justices, including dozens targeting Alexandre de Moraes, yet Senate President Davi Alcolumbre has consistently shelved them without advancement. A recent congressional inquiry recommended proceedings against Gilmar Mendes, Dias Toffoli, and Moraes, but such referrals lack binding force and face a constitutional requirement of two-thirds Senate approval (54 votes) for conviction. Lula-aligned senators currently provide a reliable blocking majority, while an STF ruling has further restricted standing to initiate cases. Brazil has never removed a sitting STF justice through this process. A shift in Senate composition after the October 2026 elections or an unforeseen procedural breakthrough could theoretically alter the outlook before 2027, though both remain remote under present conditions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
音量
$82,649終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil's Senate has received over 100 impeachment petitions against STF justices, including dozens targeting Alexandre de Moraes, yet Senate President Davi Alcolumbre has consistently shelved them without advancement. A recent congressional inquiry recommended proceedings against Gilmar Mendes, Dias Toffoli, and Moraes, but such referrals lack binding force and face a constitutional requirement of two-thirds Senate approval (54 votes) for conviction. Lula-aligned senators currently provide a reliable blocking majority, while an STF ruling has further restricted standing to initiate cases. Brazil has never removed a sitting STF justice through this process. A shift in Senate composition after the October 2026 elections or an unforeseen procedural breakthrough could theoretically alter the outlook before 2027, though both remain remote under present conditions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$82,649終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Brazil's Senate has received over 100 impeachment petitions against STF justices, including dozens targeting Alexandre de Moraes, yet Senate President Davi Alcolumbre has consistently shelved them without advancement. A recent congressional inquiry recommended proceedings against Gilmar Mendes, Dias Toffoli, and Moraes, but such referrals lack binding force and face a constitutional requirement of two-thirds Senate approval (54 votes) for conviction. Lula-aligned senators currently provide a reliable blocking majority, while an STF ruling has further restricted standing to initiate cases. Brazil has never removed a sitting STF justice through this process. A shift in Senate composition after the October 2026 elections or an unforeseen procedural breakthrough could theoretically alter the outlook before 2027, though both remain remote under present conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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