Nicolás Maduro faces a June 2027 trial in Manhattan federal court on four counts including narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation conspiracy after his January 2026 U.S. military capture. He has pleaded not guilty and plans motions to dismiss on head-of-state immunity and the legality of his apprehension. The market resolves only on an initial verdict of guilty on every count by December 31, 2027, with appeals irrelevant. Pretrial motions begin in September 2026 and arguments follow in November, leaving substantial room for partial outcomes, dismissals on individual charges, mistrials, or plea arrangements that would preclude conviction across the full indictment. Trader consensus at 78% on “No” reflects these procedural hurdles and the extended timeline before any jury decision.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
23% 確率
$132,738 Vol.
$132,738 Vol.
2027/12/30
はい
23% 確率
$132,738 Vol.
$132,738 Vol.
2027/12/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro faces a June 2027 trial in Manhattan federal court on four counts including narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation conspiracy after his January 2026 U.S. military capture. He has pleaded not guilty and plans motions to dismiss on head-of-state immunity and the legality of his apprehension. The market resolves only on an initial verdict of guilty on every count by December 31, 2027, with appeals irrelevant. Pretrial motions begin in September 2026 and arguments follow in November, leaving substantial room for partial outcomes, dismissals on individual charges, mistrials, or plea arrangements that would preclude conviction across the full indictment. Trader consensus at 78% on “No” reflects these procedural hurdles and the extended timeline before any jury decision.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
音量
$132,738終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro faces a June 2027 trial in Manhattan federal court on four counts including narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation conspiracy after his January 2026 U.S. military capture. He has pleaded not guilty and plans motions to dismiss on head-of-state immunity and the legality of his apprehension. The market resolves only on an initial verdict of guilty on every count by December 31, 2027, with appeals irrelevant. Pretrial motions begin in September 2026 and arguments follow in November, leaving substantial room for partial outcomes, dismissals on individual charges, mistrials, or plea arrangements that would preclude conviction across the full indictment. Trader consensus at 78% on “No” reflects these procedural hurdles and the extended timeline before any jury decision.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$132,738終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro faces a June 2027 trial in Manhattan federal court on four counts including narco-terrorism conspiracy and cocaine importation conspiracy after his January 2026 U.S. military capture. He has pleaded not guilty and plans motions to dismiss on head-of-state immunity and the legality of his apprehension. The market resolves only on an initial verdict of guilty on every count by December 31, 2027, with appeals irrelevant. Pretrial motions begin in September 2026 and arguments follow in November, leaving substantial room for partial outcomes, dismissals on individual charges, mistrials, or plea arrangements that would preclude conviction across the full indictment. Trader consensus at 78% on “No” reflects these procedural hurdles and the extended timeline before any jury decision.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問