Apple’s official invitation for its September 9 “Surprise and Shine” event at Apple Park, which explicitly signals the debut of the iPhone 18 Pro lineup alongside the company’s first foldable iPhone (widely expected as the iPhone Ultra), has driven the 94% market-implied odds. Credible reporting from Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and supply-chain sources confirms the book-style device—with roughly 5.5-inch cover and 7.8-inch inner displays, titanium frame, and near crease-free panel—remains on track despite earlier manufacturing concerns. The event, just days away, also marks incoming CEO John Ternus’s first major keynote. While last-minute production or presentation shifts remain theoretically possible, the combination of Apple’s public confirmation and consistent analyst validation leaves little realistic room for the foldable to be absent from the September lineup.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
94% 確率
新規
新規
2026/09/09
はい
94% 確率
新規
新規
2026/09/09
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release a foldable iPhone during the "Surprise and Shine" event currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s official invitation for its September 9 “Surprise and Shine” event at Apple Park, which explicitly signals the debut of the iPhone 18 Pro lineup alongside the company’s first foldable iPhone (widely expected as the iPhone Ultra), has driven the 94% market-implied odds. Credible reporting from Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and supply-chain sources confirms the book-style device—with roughly 5.5-inch cover and 7.8-inch inner displays, titanium frame, and near crease-free panel—remains on track despite earlier manufacturing concerns. The event, just days away, also marks incoming CEO John Ternus’s first major keynote. While last-minute production or presentation shifts remain theoretically possible, the combination of Apple’s public confirmation and consistent analyst validation leaves little realistic room for the foldable to be absent from the September lineup.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release a foldable iPhone during the "Surprise and Shine" event currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Sep 2, 2026, 8:11 PM ET
音量
$4,869終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 8:11 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release a foldable iPhone during the "Surprise and Shine" event currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s official invitation for its September 9 “Surprise and Shine” event at Apple Park, which explicitly signals the debut of the iPhone 18 Pro lineup alongside the company’s first foldable iPhone (widely expected as the iPhone Ultra), has driven the 94% market-implied odds. Credible reporting from Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and supply-chain sources confirms the book-style device—with roughly 5.5-inch cover and 7.8-inch inner displays, titanium frame, and near crease-free panel—remains on track despite earlier manufacturing concerns. The event, just days away, also marks incoming CEO John Ternus’s first major keynote. While last-minute production or presentation shifts remain theoretically possible, the combination of Apple’s public confirmation and consistent analyst validation leaves little realistic room for the foldable to be absent from the September lineup.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release a foldable iPhone during the "Surprise and Shine" event currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$4,869終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 8:11 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Apple’s official invitation for its September 9 “Surprise and Shine” event at Apple Park, which explicitly signals the debut of the iPhone 18 Pro lineup alongside the company’s first foldable iPhone (widely expected as the iPhone Ultra), has driven the 94% market-implied odds. Credible reporting from Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and supply-chain sources confirms the book-style device—with roughly 5.5-inch cover and 7.8-inch inner displays, titanium frame, and near crease-free panel—remains on track despite earlier manufacturing concerns. The event, just days away, also marks incoming CEO John Ternus’s first major keynote. While last-minute production or presentation shifts remain theoretically possible, the combination of Apple’s public confirmation and consistent analyst validation leaves little realistic room for the foldable to be absent from the September lineup.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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