Incumbent Republican Sarah Huckabee Sanders holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial race, reflected in the market's 96.9% implied probability for her victory on November 3. Arkansas's strong Republican tilt, demonstrated by consistent double-digit margins in recent statewide contests, underpins trader consensus, reinforced by Sanders' uncontested primary, substantial fundraising edge, and record of legislative priorities including education reforms and tax reductions. Democratic nominee Fredrick Love, a state senator who won his primary decisively, faces structural barriers in a state where Republicans maintain unified control of state government. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as unforeseen scandals, significant health events, or unusually low Republican turnout could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日アーカンソー州知事選挙の勝者
アーカンソー州知事選挙の勝者
$11,030 Vol.
$11,030 Vol.
2026/11/03
サラ・ハッカビー・サンダース（共和党）
97%
フレドリック・ラブ（民主党）
2%
$11,030 Vol.
$11,030 Vol.
2026/11/03
サラ・ハッカビー・サンダース（共和党）
$9,454 Vol.
97%
フレドリック・ラブ（民主党）
$1,576 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sarah Huckabee Sanders holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial race, reflected in the market's 96.9% implied probability for her victory on November 3. Arkansas's strong Republican tilt, demonstrated by consistent double-digit margins in recent statewide contests, underpins trader consensus, reinforced by Sanders' uncontested primary, substantial fundraising edge, and record of legislative priorities including education reforms and tax reductions. Democratic nominee Fredrick Love, a state senator who won his primary decisively, faces structural barriers in a state where Republicans maintain unified control of state government. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as unforeseen scandals, significant health events, or unusually low Republican turnout could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
音量
$11,030終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sarah Huckabee Sanders holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial race, reflected in the market's 96.9% implied probability for her victory on November 3. Arkansas's strong Republican tilt, demonstrated by consistent double-digit margins in recent statewide contests, underpins trader consensus, reinforced by Sanders' uncontested primary, substantial fundraising edge, and record of legislative priorities including education reforms and tax reductions. Democratic nominee Fredrick Love, a state senator who won his primary decisively, faces structural barriers in a state where Republicans maintain unified control of state government. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as unforeseen scandals, significant health events, or unusually low Republican turnout could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$11,030終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2f5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Sarah Huckabee Sanders holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Arkansas gubernatorial race, reflected in the market's 96.9% implied probability for her victory on November 3. Arkansas's strong Republican tilt, demonstrated by consistent double-digit margins in recent statewide contests, underpins trader consensus, reinforced by Sanders' uncontested primary, substantial fundraising edge, and record of legislative priorities including education reforms and tax reductions. Democratic nominee Fredrick Love, a state senator who won his primary decisively, faces structural barriers in a state where Republicans maintain unified control of state government. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as unforeseen scandals, significant health events, or unusually low Republican turnout could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問