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アッサム州議会選挙の勝者

Market icon

アッサム州議会選挙の勝者

BJP 95.6%

INC 2.7%

AITC <1%

CPI(M) <1%

Polymarket

$61,257 Vol.

BJP 95.6%

INC 2.7%

AITC <1%

CPI(M) <1%

Polymarket

$61,257 Vol.

2026年アッサム州議会選挙でバラティヤ・ジャナタ党(BJP)が最も多くの議席を獲得しますか? icon

BJP

$11,802 Vol.

96%

2026年アッサム州議会選挙でインド国民会議(INC)が最多議席を獲得しますか? icon

INC

$7,409 Vol.

3%

全インド・トリナムール会議(AITC)は2026年アッサム州議会選挙で最多議席を獲得しますか? icon

AITC

$4,519 Vol.

<1%

インド共産党(マルクス主義)(CPI(M))は2026年アッサム州議会選挙で最多議席を獲得しますか? icon

CPI(M)

$4,847 Vol.

<1%

2026年アッサム州議会選挙で国民会議党(NCP)が最多議席を獲得しますか? icon

NCP

$4,222 Vol.

<1%

2026年アッサム州議会選挙で全インド統一民主戦線(AIUDF)は最多議席を獲得しますか? icon

全インド統一民主戦線(AIUDF)

$4,933 Vol.

<1%

ボドランド人民戦線(BPF)は2026年のアッサム州議会選挙で最多議席を獲得しますか? icon

BPF

$4,474 Vol.

<1%

インド共産党(CPI)は2026年アッサム州議会選挙で最多議席を獲得しますか? icon

CPI

$9,171 Vol.

<1%

2026年アッサム州議会選挙で国民人民党(NPEP)が最多議席を獲得しますか? icon

NPEP

$5,221 Vol.

<1%

2026年アッサム州議会選挙でアソム・ガナ・パリシャド(AGP)が最も多くの議席を獲得しますか? icon

AGP

$4,659 Vol.

<1%

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Trader consensus prices BJP at 95.7% to win the most seats in the Assam Legislative Assembly following single-phase polling on April 9 amid record 75.91% turnout by mid-afternoon, aligning with multiple pre-election opinion polls like IANS-Matrize (96-98 seats for BJP-led NDA) and Chanakya (83-90 seats) that projected a third term for the incumbent alliance. Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's strong approval, NDA's expanded coalition with AGP and BPF, favorable delimitation redrawing constituencies in Hindu-dominated areas, and fragmented opposition including INC and AIUDF have solidified this lead. Vote counting commences April 16; rare disruptions like verified strongroom breaches alleged by opposition or recount discrepancies could challenge, though historical trends favor stability.

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
音量
$61,257
終了日
2026/04/09
マーケット開始日
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ET
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Trader consensus prices BJP at 95.7% to win the most seats in the Assam Legislative Assembly following single-phase polling on April 9 amid record 75.91% turnout by mid-afternoon, aligning with multiple pre-election opinion polls like IANS-Matrize (96-98 seats for BJP-led NDA) and Chanakya (83-90 seats) that projected a third term for the incumbent alliance. Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's strong approval, NDA's expanded coalition with AGP and BPF, favorable delimitation redrawing constituencies in Hindu-dominated areas, and fragmented opposition including INC and AIUDF have solidified this lead. Vote counting commences April 16; rare disruptions like verified strongroom breaches alleged by opposition or recount discrepancies could challenge, though historical trends favor stability.

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
音量
$61,257
終了日
2026/04/09
マーケット開始日
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ET
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).

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よくある質問

「アッサム州議会選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の10個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「BJP」で96%、次いで「INC」が3%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、96¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に96%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「アッサム州議会選挙の勝者」は$61.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Dec 23, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「アッサム州議会選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている10個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「アッサム州議会選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「BJP」で96%であり、市場がこの結果に96%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「INC」で3%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「アッサム州議会選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。