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ブルガリア議会選挙: 3位

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ブルガリア議会選挙: 3位

PP–DB 75%

DPS 18%

ヴァズラジュダネ 3.6%

GERB-SDS 3.1%

Polymarket

$80,732 Vol.

PP–DB 75%

DPS 18%

ヴァズラジュダネ 3.6%

GERB-SDS 3.1%

Polymarket

$80,732 Vol.

「変化を続ける—民主的ブルガリア(PP–DB)」は2026年のブルガリア議会選挙で3位になるでしょうか? icon

PP–DB

$23,894 Vol.

75%

2026年ブルガリア議会選挙で権利と自由のための運動(DPS)が3位になるでしょうか? icon

DPS

$12,789 Vol.

18%

2026年のブルガリア議会選挙で「復活(ヴァズラジュダネ)」は3位になるでしょうか? icon

ヴァズラジュダネ

$3,078 Vol.

4%

GERB-UDF(GERB-SDS)は2026年のブルガリア議会選挙で3位になるか? icon

GERB-SDS

$10,118 Vol.

3%

2026年のブルガリア議会選挙で、モラリティ・ユニティ・オナー(MECh)は3位になるでしょうか? icon

MECh

$3,263 Vol.

<1%

統一左翼(BSP)は2026年のブルガリア議会選挙で3位になりますか? icon

BSP

$20,073 Vol.

<1%

2026年のブルガリア議会選挙で「そんな人々がいる」(ITN)は3位になりますか? icon

ITN

$2,065 Vol.

<1%

2026年ブルガリア議会選挙でプログレッシブ・ブルガリア(PB)は3位になるでしょうか? icon

PB

$1,575 Vol.

<1%

2026年ブルガリア議会選挙で権利と自由のための同盟(APS)は3位になりますか? icon

APS

$2,076 Vol.

<1%

ヴェリチエ(Velichie)は2026年のブルガリア議会選挙で3位になりますか? icon

ヴェリチエ

$1,802 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Latest polls from Market Links (April 7-14) and CAR (April 3-14) position Progressive Bulgaria at 32-37% to lead the April 19 snap parliamentary election, GERB-SDS at 19-21% for second, and PP-DB at 12-13% ahead of DPS (8-11%) and Vazrazhdane (5-7%), driving trader consensus toward PP-DB as the clear third-place favorite under Bulgaria's proportional representation system. Former president Rumen Radev's new Progressive Bulgaria alliance, launched in March after his resignation, has dominated since, reshaping the fragmented field and marginalizing other contenders like BSP and ITN. No major developments in the last 48 hours, but low expected turnout (around 51%) could amplify polling leads as the eighth election since 2021 approaches.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
音量
$80,732
終了日
2026/04/19
マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Latest polls from Market Links (April 7-14) and CAR (April 3-14) position Progressive Bulgaria at 32-37% to lead the April 19 snap parliamentary election, GERB-SDS at 19-21% for second, and PP-DB at 12-13% ahead of DPS (8-11%) and Vazrazhdane (5-7%), driving trader consensus toward PP-DB as the clear third-place favorite under Bulgaria's proportional representation system. Former president Rumen Radev's new Progressive Bulgaria alliance, launched in March after his resignation, has dominated since, reshaping the fragmented field and marginalizing other contenders like BSP and ITN. No major developments in the last 48 hours, but low expected turnout (around 51%) could amplify polling leads as the eighth election since 2021 approaches.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
音量
$80,732
終了日
2026/04/19
マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ブルガリア議会選挙: 3位」はPolymarket上の10個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「PP–DB」で75%、次いで「DPS」が18%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、75¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に75%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ブルガリア議会選挙: 3位」は$80.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Mar 27, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ブルガリア議会選挙: 3位」で取引するには、このページに記載されている10個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ブルガリア議会選挙: 3位」の現在のフロントランナーは「PP–DB」で75%であり、市場がこの結果に75%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「DPS」で18%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ブルガリア議会選挙: 3位」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。