Trader consensus prices PP–DB at 73.5% for third place in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, driven by consistent polling averages from early April surveys like CAR (fieldwork to April 14) and Sova Harris, which position Progressive Bulgaria first at 30-34%, GERB-SDS second at 19-21%, and PP–DB third at 11-12%. DPS trails at 10-11% despite minor gains, while Vazrazhdane lags at 7-8%, reflecting low pre-vote volatility in this proportional representation system amid the eighth election since 2021. Recent vote-buying crackdowns and arrests have not shifted standings, leaving PP–DB as the stable frontrunner for third per the wisdom of crowds, with resolution post-official results.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日PP–DB 73%
DPS 17%
ヴァズラジュダネ 6.4%
GERB-SDS 1.2%
$79,540 Vol.
$79,540 Vol.

PP–DB
73%

DPS
17%

ヴァズラジュダネ
6%

GERB-SDS
1%

MECh
<1%

BSP
<1%

ITN
<1%

PB
<1%

APS
<1%

ヴェリチエ
<1%
PP–DB 73%
DPS 17%
ヴァズラジュダネ 6.4%
GERB-SDS 1.2%
$79,540 Vol.
$79,540 Vol.

PP–DB
73%

DPS
17%

ヴァズラジュダネ
6%

GERB-SDS
1%

MECh
<1%

BSP
<1%

ITN
<1%

PB
<1%

APS
<1%

ヴェリチエ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
マーケット開始日: Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices PP–DB at 73.5% for third place in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, driven by consistent polling averages from early April surveys like CAR (fieldwork to April 14) and Sova Harris, which position Progressive Bulgaria first at 30-34%, GERB-SDS second at 19-21%, and PP–DB third at 11-12%. DPS trails at 10-11% despite minor gains, while Vazrazhdane lags at 7-8%, reflecting low pre-vote volatility in this proportional representation system amid the eighth election since 2021. Recent vote-buying crackdowns and arrests have not shifted standings, leaving PP–DB as the stable frontrunner for third per the wisdom of crowds, with resolution post-official results.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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