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ブルガリア議会選挙: 3位

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ブルガリア議会選挙: 3位

PP–DB 73%

DPS 17%

ヴァズラジュダネ 6.4%

GERB-SDS 1.2%

Polymarket

$79,540 Vol.

PP–DB 73%

DPS 17%

ヴァズラジュダネ 6.4%

GERB-SDS 1.2%

Polymarket

$79,540 Vol.

「変化を続ける—民主的ブルガリア(PP–DB)」は2026年のブルガリア議会選挙で3位になるでしょうか? icon

PP–DB

$23,587 Vol.

73%

2026年ブルガリア議会選挙で権利と自由のための運動(DPS)が3位になるでしょうか? icon

DPS

$12,583 Vol.

17%

2026年のブルガリア議会選挙で「復活(ヴァズラジュダネ)」は3位になるでしょうか? icon

ヴァズラジュダネ

$3,033 Vol.

6%

GERB-UDF(GERB-SDS)は2026年のブルガリア議会選挙で3位になるか? icon

GERB-SDS

$9,508 Vol.

1%

2026年のブルガリア議会選挙で、モラリティ・ユニティ・オナー(MECh)は3位になるでしょうか? icon

MECh

$3,238 Vol.

<1%

統一左翼(BSP)は2026年のブルガリア議会選挙で3位になりますか? icon

BSP

$20,073 Vol.

<1%

2026年のブルガリア議会選挙で「そんな人々がいる」(ITN)は3位になりますか? icon

ITN

$2,065 Vol.

<1%

2026年ブルガリア議会選挙でプログレッシブ・ブルガリア(PB)は3位になるでしょうか? icon

PB

$1,575 Vol.

<1%

2026年ブルガリア議会選挙で権利と自由のための同盟(APS)は3位になりますか? icon

APS

$2,076 Vol.

<1%

ヴェリチエ(Velichie)は2026年のブルガリア議会選挙で3位になりますか? icon

ヴェリチエ

$1,802 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Trader consensus prices PP–DB at 73.5% for third place in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, driven by consistent polling averages from early April surveys like CAR (fieldwork to April 14) and Sova Harris, which position Progressive Bulgaria first at 30-34%, GERB-SDS second at 19-21%, and PP–DB third at 11-12%. DPS trails at 10-11% despite minor gains, while Vazrazhdane lags at 7-8%, reflecting low pre-vote volatility in this proportional representation system amid the eighth election since 2021. Recent vote-buying crackdowns and arrests have not shifted standings, leaving PP–DB as the stable frontrunner for third per the wisdom of crowds, with resolution post-official results.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
音量
$79,540
終了日
2026/04/19
マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Trader consensus prices PP–DB at 73.5% for third place in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, driven by consistent polling averages from early April surveys like CAR (fieldwork to April 14) and Sova Harris, which position Progressive Bulgaria first at 30-34%, GERB-SDS second at 19-21%, and PP–DB third at 11-12%. DPS trails at 10-11% despite minor gains, while Vazrazhdane lags at 7-8%, reflecting low pre-vote volatility in this proportional representation system amid the eighth election since 2021. Recent vote-buying crackdowns and arrests have not shifted standings, leaving PP–DB as the stable frontrunner for third per the wisdom of crowds, with resolution post-official results.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
音量
$79,540
終了日
2026/04/19
マーケット開始日
Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ブルガリア議会選挙: 3位」はPolymarket上の10個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「PP–DB」で73%、次いで「DPS」が17%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、73¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に73%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ブルガリア議会選挙: 3位」は$79.5Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Mar 27, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ブルガリア議会選挙: 3位」で取引するには、このページに記載されている10個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ブルガリア議会選挙: 3位」の現在のフロントランナーは「PP–DB」で73%であり、市場がこの結果に73%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「DPS」で17%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ブルガリア議会選挙: 3位」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。