Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson leads the June 2, 2026, top-two primary for California's 4th Congressional District following redistricting that added significant new territory to the seat. Early vote tallies show Thompson ahead of Republican Raymond Riehle and fellow Democrat Eric Jones, with the top two finishers advancing to the November general election under California's nonpartisan primary system. Thompson, seeking his 15th term, secured party endorsement and maintains strong name recognition in the altered district. The outcome hinges on final vote consolidation across counties, as the race features multiple Republican and Democratic challengers splitting the field. No major last-minute developments have altered the early positioning ahead of full certification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$43,979 Vol.
マイク・トンプソン
100%
エリック・ジョーンズ
72%
ジョン・ウェスリー・タイラー
1%
ローリー・マッケンジー
1%
シャロン・ブラウン
5%
マンディ・グシャル
1%
トレバー・メレル
<1%
ヒース・ファルカーソン
<1%
$43,979 Vol.
マイク・トンプソン
100%
エリック・ジョーンズ
72%
ジョン・ウェスリー・タイラー
1%
ローリー・マッケンジー
1%
シャロン・ブラウン
5%
マンディ・グシャル
1%
トレバー・メレル
<1%
ヒース・ファルカーソン
<1%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson leads the June 2, 2026, top-two primary for California's 4th Congressional District following redistricting that added significant new territory to the seat. Early vote tallies show Thompson ahead of Republican Raymond Riehle and fellow Democrat Eric Jones, with the top two finishers advancing to the November general election under California's nonpartisan primary system. Thompson, seeking his 15th term, secured party endorsement and maintains strong name recognition in the altered district. The outcome hinges on final vote consolidation across counties, as the race features multiple Republican and Democratic challengers splitting the field. No major last-minute developments have altered the early positioning ahead of full certification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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