Shin Yong-han's commanding 93.5% implied probability in the Polymarket reflects his decisive April 4 victory in the Democratic Party's primary runoff against Noh Young-min, securing nomination for the June 3 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election amid strong party support, including a National Assembly welcome ceremony led by leader Jung Chung-rae on April 14. Pre-nomination polls from March showed him leading Democratic supporters at 33-44% and ahead province-wide against incumbent Kim Young-hwan of the People Power Party and rivals like Song Ki-sub. People Power Party turmoil—initially cutting off Kim before restarting the primary, with aspirants Cho Gil-hyeong and Yoon Hee-geun signaling non-participation—bolsters trader consensus on Shin's edge in this swing province. Late-breaking scandals, a unified conservative challenger, or national momentum shifts could still challenge the outcome before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日シン・ヨンハン 94%
チョ・ギルヒョン 2.5%
ノ・ヨンミン 1.8%
ユン・ヒグン 1.3%
$23,131 Vol.
$23,131 Vol.
シン・ヨンハン
94%
チョ・ギルヒョン
3%
ノ・ヨンミン
2%
ユン・ヒグン
1%
ソン・ギソプ
1%
イ・ジョンベ
<1%
キム・ヨンファン
<1%
ド・ジョンファン
<1%
シン・ヨンハン 94%
チョ・ギルヒョン 2.5%
ノ・ヨンミン 1.8%
ユン・ヒグン 1.3%
$23,131 Vol.
$23,131 Vol.
シン・ヨンハン
94%
チョ・ギルヒョン
3%
ノ・ヨンミン
2%
ユン・ヒグン
1%
ソン・ギソプ
1%
イ・ジョンベ
<1%
キム・ヨンファン
<1%
ド・ジョンファン
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
マーケット開始日: Nov 18, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Shin Yong-han's commanding 93.5% implied probability in the Polymarket reflects his decisive April 4 victory in the Democratic Party's primary runoff against Noh Young-min, securing nomination for the June 3 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election amid strong party support, including a National Assembly welcome ceremony led by leader Jung Chung-rae on April 14. Pre-nomination polls from March showed him leading Democratic supporters at 33-44% and ahead province-wide against incumbent Kim Young-hwan of the People Power Party and rivals like Song Ki-sub. People Power Party turmoil—initially cutting off Kim before restarting the primary, with aspirants Cho Gil-hyeong and Yoon Hee-geun signaling non-participation—bolsters trader consensus on Shin's edge in this swing province. Late-breaking scandals, a unified conservative challenger, or national momentum shifts could still challenge the outcome before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問