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icon for 鎖骨は...によって逮捕されたのですか?

鎖骨は...によって逮捕されたのですか?

icon for 鎖骨は...によって逮捕されたのですか?

鎖骨は...によって逮捕されたのですか?

新規
2026/09/30
Polymarket

$1,353 Vol.

Polymarket

9月25日

$1,069 Vol.

3%

9月30日

$393 Vol.

11%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is arrested between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest occurs when Clavicular is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true: (i) he is criminally booked or processed; (ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument; (iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or (iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center. An arrest arising from any matter will qualify, whether or not it relates to the charges pending against him in Massachusetts. The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Clavicular being taken into physical custody will not qualify. Appearing at a scheduled court date in response to a summons, including a scheduled arraignment, will not qualify unless he is taken into physical custody. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds. Any arrest occurring before market creation will not qualify. Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Clavicular, the Kick streamer and looksmaxxing influencer Braden Peters, faces mounting legal pressure that shapes trader views on any arrest-related market. Fresh Massachusetts charges filed September 8 for rape, drugging for sex, and providing alcohol to a minor—tied to a May 2025 Chatham incident—set the latest catalyst, with arraignment scheduled for October 14 and no arrest or service yet. This follows repeated 2026 run-ins, including February fake-ID and drug possession charges (later dropped), a March misdemeanor battery warrant tied to a livestreamed fight he allegedly instigated, and a July Miami nightclub detention without formal booking. Traders weigh the streamer’s documented pattern of viral controversies and law-enforcement encounters against the high bar for new custody in these cases. The October hearing and any Florida follow-ups on prior matters remain key near-term resolution triggers.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is arrested between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying arrest occurs when Clavicular is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:

(i) he is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.

An arrest arising from any matter will qualify, whether or not it relates to the charges pending against him in Massachusetts.

The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Clavicular being taken into physical custody will not qualify. Appearing at a scheduled court date in response to a summons, including a scheduled arraignment, will not qualify unless he is taken into physical custody. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.

Any arrest occurring before market creation will not qualify.

Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is arrested between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest occurs when Clavicular is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true: (i) he is criminally booked or processed; (ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument; (iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or (iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center. An arrest arising from any matter will qualify, whether or not it relates to the charges pending against him in Massachusetts. The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Clavicular being taken into physical custody will not qualify. Appearing at a scheduled court date in response to a summons, including a scheduled arraignment, will not qualify unless he is taken into physical custody. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds. Any arrest occurring before market creation will not qualify. Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,353
終了日
2026/10/01
マーケット開始日
Sep 21, 2026, 11:44 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is arrested between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest occurs when Clavicular is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true: (i) he is criminally booked or processed; (ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument; (iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or (iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center. An arrest arising from any matter will qualify, whether or not it relates to the charges pending against him in Massachusetts. The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Clavicular being taken into physical custody will not qualify. Appearing at a scheduled court date in response to a summons, including a scheduled arraignment, will not qualify unless he is taken into physical custody. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds. Any arrest occurring before market creation will not qualify. Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Clavicular, the Kick streamer and looksmaxxing influencer Braden Peters, faces mounting legal pressure that shapes trader views on any arrest-related market. Fresh Massachusetts charges filed September 8 for rape, drugging for sex, and providing alcohol to a minor—tied to a May 2025 Chatham incident—set the latest catalyst, with arraignment scheduled for October 14 and no arrest or service yet. This follows repeated 2026 run-ins, including February fake-ID and drug possession charges (later dropped), a March misdemeanor battery warrant tied to a livestreamed fight he allegedly instigated, and a July Miami nightclub detention without formal booking. Traders weigh the streamer’s documented pattern of viral controversies and law-enforcement encounters against the high bar for new custody in these cases. The October hearing and any Florida follow-ups on prior matters remain key near-term resolution triggers.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is arrested between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying arrest occurs when Clavicular is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:

(i) he is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.

An arrest arising from any matter will qualify, whether or not it relates to the charges pending against him in Massachusetts.

The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Clavicular being taken into physical custody will not qualify. Appearing at a scheduled court date in response to a summons, including a scheduled arraignment, will not qualify unless he is taken into physical custody. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.

Any arrest occurring before market creation will not qualify.

Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is arrested between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest occurs when Clavicular is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true: (i) he is criminally booked or processed; (ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument; (iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or (iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center. An arrest arising from any matter will qualify, whether or not it relates to the charges pending against him in Massachusetts. The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Clavicular being taken into physical custody will not qualify. Appearing at a scheduled court date in response to a summons, including a scheduled arraignment, will not qualify unless he is taken into physical custody. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds. Any arrest occurring before market creation will not qualify. Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,353
終了日
2026/10/01
マーケット開始日
Sep 21, 2026, 11:44 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「鎖骨は...によって逮捕されたのですか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「9月30日」で11%、次いで「9月25日」が3%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、11¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に11%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「鎖骨は...によって逮捕されたのですか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Sep 21, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「鎖骨は...によって逮捕されたのですか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「鎖骨は...によって逮捕されたのですか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「9月30日」で11%であり、市場がこの結果に11%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「9月25日」で3%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「鎖骨は...によって逮捕されたのですか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。