Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 300-319 times from April 10-17, with 50.5% implied probability, anchored by xTracker data logging 267 qualifying posts (main feed, quotes, reposts only—no replies) through April 15 at a 45-per-day pace. This surge stems from viral clashes over South Africa's B-BBEE laws blocking Starlink licenses, branded by Musk as "Apartheid 2.0," alongside commentary on U.S. immigration, crime stats, and Tesla FSD breakthroughs amid Model S/X phaseout buzz. With two days left through April 17, sustained cultural firestorms could push toward 320+, but traders price in potential weekend lull for the 280-299 cluster at 25.1%. Markets reflect real-money bets on his unpredictable posting rhythm.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日300〜319 51%
280～299 25.1%
320～339 17.4%
340～359 4.5%
$10,402,415 Vol.
$10,402,415 Vol.
2026/04/17
260〜279
2%
280～299
25%
300〜319
51%
320～339
17%
340～359
5%
360～379
2%
380〜399
<1%
400～419
<1%
420～439
<1%
440～459
<1%
460～479
<1%
480〜499
<1%
500～519
<1%
520〜539
<1%
540～559
<1%
560～579
<1%
580以上
<1%
300〜319 51%
280～299 25.1%
320～339 17.4%
340～359 4.5%
$10,402,415 Vol.
$10,402,415 Vol.
2026/04/17
260〜279
$711,418 Vol.
2%
280～299
$462,069 Vol.
25%
300〜319
$356,065 Vol.
51%
320～339
$463,091 Vol.
17%
340～359
$403,356 Vol.
5%
360～379
$422,768 Vol.
2%
380〜399
$381,290 Vol.
<1%
400～419
$494,840 Vol.
<1%
420～439
$430,731 Vol.
<1%
440～459
$483,698 Vol.
<1%
460～479
$342,850 Vol.
<1%
480〜499
$329,750 Vol.
<1%
500～519
$264,248 Vol.
<1%
520〜539
$266,477 Vol.
<1%
540～559
$270,374 Vol.
<1%
560～579
$188,742 Vol.
<1%
580以上
$354,007 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 300-319 times from April 10-17, with 50.5% implied probability, anchored by xTracker data logging 267 qualifying posts (main feed, quotes, reposts only—no replies) through April 15 at a 45-per-day pace. This surge stems from viral clashes over South Africa's B-BBEE laws blocking Starlink licenses, branded by Musk as "Apartheid 2.0," alongside commentary on U.S. immigration, crime stats, and Tesla FSD breakthroughs amid Model S/X phaseout buzz. With two days left through April 17, sustained cultural firestorms could push toward 320+, but traders price in potential weekend lull for the 280-299 cluster at 25.1%. Markets reflect real-money bets on his unpredictable posting rhythm.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$10,402,415終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 300-319 times from April 10-17, with 50.5% implied probability, anchored by xTracker data logging 267 qualifying posts (main feed, quotes, reposts only—no replies) through April 15 at a 45-per-day pace. This surge stems from viral clashes over South Africa's B-BBEE laws blocking Starlink licenses, branded by Musk as "Apartheid 2.0," alongside commentary on U.S. immigration, crime stats, and Tesla FSD breakthroughs amid Model S/X phaseout buzz. With two days left through April 17, sustained cultural firestorms could push toward 320+, but traders price in potential weekend lull for the 280-299 cluster at 25.1%. Markets reflect real-money bets on his unpredictable posting rhythm.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$10,402,415終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 300-319 times from April 10-17, with 50.5% implied probability, anchored by xTracker data logging 267 qualifying posts (main feed, quotes, reposts only—no replies) through April 15 at a 45-per-day pace. This surge stems from viral clashes over South Africa's B-BBEE laws blocking Starlink licenses, branded by Musk as "Apartheid 2.0," alongside commentary on U.S. immigration, crime stats, and Tesla FSD breakthroughs amid Model S/X phaseout buzz. With two days left through April 17, sustained cultural firestorms could push toward 320+, but traders price in potential weekend lull for the 280-299 cluster at 25.1%. Markets reflect real-money bets on his unpredictable posting rhythm.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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