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政治·トランプ

Who will Trump publicly insult by April 30?

Market icon
政治·トランプ

Who will Trump publicly insult by April 30?

4月 30

4月 30

新規

$31,513 Vol.

2026/04/30
Polymarket

$31,513 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Joe Biden

$8,529 Vol.

94%

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Barack Obama

$1,259 Vol.

60%

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Pope Leo XIV

$1,323 Vol.

39%

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Marjorie Taylor Greene

$120 Vol.

49%

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Keir Starmer

$38 Vol.

63%

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Megyn Kelly

$0 Vol.

31%

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Tucker Carlson

$454 Vol.

29%

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Alex Jones

$1,134 Vol.

15%

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Pam Bondi

$203 Vol.

7%

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Elon Musk

$334 Vol.

7%

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Benjamin Netanyahu

$5,877 Vol.

5%

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Viktor Orbán

$2,592 Vol.

4%

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Vladimir Putin

$1,003 Vol.

2%

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Xi Jinping

$3,999 Vol.

2%

Market icon

J.D. Vance

$2,077 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Melania Trump

$2,526 Vol.

1%

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Candace Owens

$47 Vol.

43%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's frequent Truth Social posts targeting political adversaries have driven trader consensus toward high probabilities for Joe Biden (94%) and Keir Starmer (81%) as likely insult targets by April 30, reflecting his pattern of personal attacks using terms like "weak" or "stupid" since market launch on April 13. Recent Fox News coverage of Trump's Biden criticisms boosted that outcome's volume to over $8,500, while backlash from his pre-market April 12 blasts at Pope Leo XIV—labeling him "weak on crime" and "terrible for foreign policy" amid Iran war tensions—elevates Pope Leo (51%) and Candace Owens (77%) amid intra-party and Catholic voter frictions ahead of 2026 midterms. Escalating Iran diplomacy or midterm endorsements could trigger qualifying barbs.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$31,513
終了日
2026/04/30
マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 6:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's frequent Truth Social posts targeting political adversaries have driven trader consensus toward high probabilities for Joe Biden (94%) and Keir Starmer (81%) as likely insult targets by April 30, reflecting his pattern of personal attacks using terms like "weak" or "stupid" since market launch on April 13. Recent Fox News coverage of Trump's Biden criticisms boosted that outcome's volume to over $8,500, while backlash from his pre-market April 12 blasts at Pope Leo XIV—labeling him "weak on crime" and "terrible for foreign policy" amid Iran war tensions—elevates Pope Leo (51%) and Candace Owens (77%) amid intra-party and Catholic voter frictions ahead of 2026 midterms. Escalating Iran diplomacy or midterm endorsements could trigger qualifying barbs.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$31,513
終了日
2026/04/30
マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 6:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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よくある質問

「Who will Trump publicly insult by April 30?」はPolymarket上の17個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Joe Biden」で94%、次いで「Keir Starmer」が63%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、94¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に94%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Who will Trump publicly insult by April 30?」は$31.5Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Apr 13, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Who will Trump publicly insult by April 30?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている17個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Who will Trump publicly insult by April 30?」の現在のフロントランナーは「Joe Biden」で94%であり、市場がこの結果に94%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Keir Starmer」で63%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Who will Trump publicly insult by April 30?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。