Recent indirect U.S.-Iran talks in Islamabad concluded without a deal on April 12 amid a fragile two-week ceasefire following escalated hostilities over the nuclear program and Strait of Hormuz tensions. Mediators, including Pakistan and Oman, report partial progress, with U.S. officials signaling potential in-person follow-up negotiations as early as this Thursday, possibly in Islamabad or Geneva. Trader sentiment hinges on high-level attendance: Washington likely dispatching Vice President JD Vance, Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner; Tehran potentially sending Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi. Ceasefire deadlines and alliance pressures, including Trump's calls for multinational naval support, underscore the stakes for diplomatic breakthroughs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/06/30
Donald Trump
8%
Marco Rubio
29%
J.D. Vance
65%
Jared Kushner
67%
Steve Witkoff
66%
$0.00 Vol.
Donald Trump
$0 Vol.
8%
Marco Rubio
$0 Vol.
29%
J.D. Vance
$0 Vol.
65%
Jared Kushner
$0 Vol.
67%
Steve Witkoff
$0 Vol.
66%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent indirect U.S.-Iran talks in Islamabad concluded without a deal on April 12 amid a fragile two-week ceasefire following escalated hostilities over the nuclear program and Strait of Hormuz tensions. Mediators, including Pakistan and Oman, report partial progress, with U.S. officials signaling potential in-person follow-up negotiations as early as this Thursday, possibly in Islamabad or Geneva. Trader sentiment hinges on high-level attendance: Washington likely dispatching Vice President JD Vance, Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner; Tehran potentially sending Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi. Ceasefire deadlines and alliance pressures, including Trump's calls for multinational naval support, underscore the stakes for diplomatic breakthroughs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Apr 14, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent indirect U.S.-Iran talks in Islamabad concluded without a deal on April 12 amid a fragile two-week ceasefire following escalated hostilities over the nuclear program and Strait of Hormuz tensions. Mediators, including Pakistan and Oman, report partial progress, with U.S. officials signaling potential in-person follow-up negotiations as early as this Thursday, possibly in Islamabad or Geneva. Trader sentiment hinges on high-level attendance: Washington likely dispatching Vice President JD Vance, Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner; Tehran potentially sending Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi. Ceasefire deadlines and alliance pressures, including Trump's calls for multinational naval support, underscore the stakes for diplomatic breakthroughs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$0終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent indirect U.S.-Iran talks in Islamabad concluded without a deal on April 12 amid a fragile two-week ceasefire following escalated hostilities over the nuclear program and Strait of Hormuz tensions. Mediators, including Pakistan and Oman, report partial progress, with U.S. officials signaling potential in-person follow-up negotiations as early as this Thursday, possibly in Islamabad or Geneva. Trader sentiment hinges on high-level attendance: Washington likely dispatching Vice President JD Vance, Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner; Tehran potentially sending Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi. Ceasefire deadlines and alliance pressures, including Trump's calls for multinational naval support, underscore the stakes for diplomatic breakthroughs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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