President Trump's recent phone call with Prime Minister Netanyahu, urging scaled-back Israeli strikes on Hezbollah in Lebanon to preserve the fragile US-Iran ceasefire announced April 7, has fueled trader consensus for a potential endorsement by April 30. Despite publicly framing Lebanon as a "separate skirmish" outside the two-week truce, reports indicate Trump initially agreed to include it before reversing post-discussion, prompting US mediation of direct Israel-Lebanon talks in Washington and VP JD Vance's upcoming Iran negotiations in Islamabad. With ongoing bombardments and Iranian demands tying regional de-escalation to sanctions relief, the closely contested 55.5% Yes reflects diplomatic momentum amid Trump's pro-Israel posture and 19 days remaining.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
$18,536 Vol.
新規
$18,536 Vol.
2026/04/30
新規
$18,536 Vol.
新規
$18,536 Vol.
2026/04/30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Donald Trump or the United States government endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon refers to a cessation of military hostilities by Israel in or against Lebanon.
The United States will be considered to have endorsed an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon if:
- Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that the United States supports, backs, or endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon.
-An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon is included as part of, or as a precondition to, an official treaty or deal established any set of countries including the United States, either through signing or other formal means.
Endorsement requires a clear and affirmative expression of support. Statements that merely acknowledge the possibility of a ceasefire or discuss a ceasefire without expressing clear support will not qualify.
Statements that are contingent on uncertain future events will not qualify unless they include a clear and present endorsement of a ceasefire.
Any qualifying endorsement made before the resolution date will count, regardless of whether a ceasefire is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of a qualifying statement.President Trump's recent phone call with Prime Minister Netanyahu, urging scaled-back Israeli strikes on Hezbollah in Lebanon to preserve the fragile US-Iran ceasefire announced April 7, has fueled trader consensus for a potential endorsement by April 30. Despite publicly framing Lebanon as a "separate skirmish" outside the two-week truce, reports indicate Trump initially agreed to include it before reversing post-discussion, prompting US mediation of direct Israel-Lebanon talks in Washington and VP JD Vance's upcoming Iran negotiations in Islamabad. With ongoing bombardments and Iranian demands tying regional de-escalation to sanctions relief, the closely contested 55.5% Yes reflects diplomatic momentum amid Trump's pro-Israel posture and 19 days remaining.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Donald Trump or the United States government endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon refers to a cessation of military hostilities by Israel in or against Lebanon.
The United States will be considered to have endorsed an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon if:
- Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that the United States supports, backs, or endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon.
-An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon is included as part of, or as a precondition to, an official treaty or deal established any set of countries including the United States, either through signing or other formal means.
Endorsement requires a clear and affirmative expression of support. Statements that merely acknowledge the possibility of a ceasefire or discuss a ceasefire without expressing clear support will not qualify.
Statements that are contingent on uncertain future events will not qualify unless they include a clear and present endorsement of a ceasefire.
Any qualifying endorsement made before the resolution date will count, regardless of whether a ceasefire is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of a qualifying statement.
An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon refers to a cessation of military hostilities by Israel in or against Lebanon.
The United States will be considered to have endorsed an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon if:
- Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that the United States supports, backs, or endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon.
-An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon is included as part of, or as a precondition to, an official treaty or deal established any set of countries including the United States, either through signing or other formal means.
Endorsement requires a clear and affirmative expression of support. Statements that merely acknowledge the possibility of a ceasefire or discuss a ceasefire without expressing clear support will not qualify.
Statements that are contingent on uncertain future events will not qualify unless they include a clear and present endorsement of a ceasefire.
Any qualifying endorsement made before the resolution date will count, regardless of whether a ceasefire is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of a qualifying statement.
マーケット開始日： Apr 9, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
音量
$18,536終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Apr 9, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Donald Trump or the United States government endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon refers to a cessation of military hostilities by Israel in or against Lebanon.
The United States will be considered to have endorsed an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon if:
- Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that the United States supports, backs, or endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon.
-An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon is included as part of, or as a precondition to, an official treaty or deal established any set of countries including the United States, either through signing or other formal means.
Endorsement requires a clear and affirmative expression of support. Statements that merely acknowledge the possibility of a ceasefire or discuss a ceasefire without expressing clear support will not qualify.
Statements that are contingent on uncertain future events will not qualify unless they include a clear and present endorsement of a ceasefire.
Any qualifying endorsement made before the resolution date will count, regardless of whether a ceasefire is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of a qualifying statement.President Trump's recent phone call with Prime Minister Netanyahu, urging scaled-back Israeli strikes on Hezbollah in Lebanon to preserve the fragile US-Iran ceasefire announced April 7, has fueled trader consensus for a potential endorsement by April 30. Despite publicly framing Lebanon as a "separate skirmish" outside the two-week truce, reports indicate Trump initially agreed to include it before reversing post-discussion, prompting US mediation of direct Israel-Lebanon talks in Washington and VP JD Vance's upcoming Iran negotiations in Islamabad. With ongoing bombardments and Iranian demands tying regional de-escalation to sanctions relief, the closely contested 55.5% Yes reflects diplomatic momentum amid Trump's pro-Israel posture and 19 days remaining.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Donald Trump or the United States government endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon refers to a cessation of military hostilities by Israel in or against Lebanon.
The United States will be considered to have endorsed an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon if:
- Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that the United States supports, backs, or endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon.
-An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon is included as part of, or as a precondition to, an official treaty or deal established any set of countries including the United States, either through signing or other formal means.
Endorsement requires a clear and affirmative expression of support. Statements that merely acknowledge the possibility of a ceasefire or discuss a ceasefire without expressing clear support will not qualify.
Statements that are contingent on uncertain future events will not qualify unless they include a clear and present endorsement of a ceasefire.
Any qualifying endorsement made before the resolution date will count, regardless of whether a ceasefire is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of a qualifying statement.
An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon refers to a cessation of military hostilities by Israel in or against Lebanon.
The United States will be considered to have endorsed an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon if:
- Donald Trump or another authorized representative of the Government of the United States publicly announces that the United States supports, backs, or endorses an Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon.
-An Israeli ceasefire in Lebanon is included as part of, or as a precondition to, an official treaty or deal established any set of countries including the United States, either through signing or other formal means.
Endorsement requires a clear and affirmative expression of support. Statements that merely acknowledge the possibility of a ceasefire or discuss a ceasefire without expressing clear support will not qualify.
Statements that are contingent on uncertain future events will not qualify unless they include a clear and present endorsement of a ceasefire.
Any qualifying endorsement made before the resolution date will count, regardless of whether a ceasefire is actually implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government, and their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to verify the details of a qualifying statement.
音量
$18,536終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Apr 9, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's recent phone call with Prime Minister Netanyahu, urging scaled-back Israeli strikes on Hezbollah in Lebanon to preserve the fragile US-Iran ceasefire announced April 7, has fueled trader consensus for a potential endorsement by April 30. Despite publicly framing Lebanon as a "separate skirmish" outside the two-week truce, reports indicate Trump initially agreed to include it before reversing post-discussion, prompting US mediation of direct Israel-Lebanon talks in Washington and VP JD Vance's upcoming Iran negotiations in Islamabad. With ongoing bombardments and Iranian demands tying regional de-escalation to sanctions relief, the closely contested 55.5% Yes reflects diplomatic momentum amid Trump's pro-Israel posture and 19 days remaining.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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