Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 96.6% for No after President Trump invoked "Praise be to Allah" twice in early April Truth Social posts amid escalating U.S.-Iran tensions over the Strait of Hormuz, including an Easter Sunday profanity-laced threat and a later boast about military successes. With no further public uses of the phrase in the past week—despite ongoing diplomatic negotiations, U.S. airman rescues, and ceasefire talks—traders see little impetus for repetition as the April 15, 11:59 PM ET deadline approaches. Realistic shifts could stem from a surprise late-day statement, interview response to Iran developments, or fresh executive action invoking similar rhetoric, though Trump's communication patterns favor predictable foreign policy framing without such flourishes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$263,216 Vol.
$263,216 Vol.
はい
$263,216 Vol.
$263,216 Vol.
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
マーケット開始日: Apr 12, 2026, 7:55 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 96.6% for No after President Trump invoked "Praise be to Allah" twice in early April Truth Social posts amid escalating U.S.-Iran tensions over the Strait of Hormuz, including an Easter Sunday profanity-laced threat and a later boast about military successes. With no further public uses of the phrase in the past week—despite ongoing diplomatic negotiations, U.S. airman rescues, and ceasefire talks—traders see little impetus for repetition as the April 15, 11:59 PM ET deadline approaches. Realistic shifts could stem from a surprise late-day statement, interview response to Iran developments, or fresh executive action invoking similar rhetoric, though Trump's communication patterns favor predictable foreign policy framing without such flourishes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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