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トランプ大統領は4月15日までに再び神を賛美するでしょうか?

Market icon

トランプ大統領は4月15日までに再び神を賛美するでしょうか?

はい

3% 確率
Polymarket

$263,216 Vol.

はい

3% 確率
Polymarket

$263,216 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between the time of its creation and April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”). General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 96.6% for No after President Trump invoked "Praise be to Allah" twice in early April Truth Social posts amid escalating U.S.-Iran tensions over the Strait of Hormuz, including an Easter Sunday profanity-laced threat and a later boast about military successes. With no further public uses of the phrase in the past week—despite ongoing diplomatic negotiations, U.S. airman rescues, and ceasefire talks—traders see little impetus for repetition as the April 15, 11:59 PM ET deadline approaches. Realistic shifts could stem from a surprise late-day statement, interview response to Iran developments, or fresh executive action invoking similar rhetoric, though Trump's communication patterns favor predictable foreign policy framing without such flourishes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between the time of its creation and April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).

General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.

Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.

Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
音量
$263,216
終了日
2026/04/15
マーケット開始日
Apr 12, 2026, 7:55 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between the time of its creation and April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”). General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between the time of its creation and April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”). General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 96.6% for No after President Trump invoked "Praise be to Allah" twice in early April Truth Social posts amid escalating U.S.-Iran tensions over the Strait of Hormuz, including an Easter Sunday profanity-laced threat and a later boast about military successes. With no further public uses of the phrase in the past week—despite ongoing diplomatic negotiations, U.S. airman rescues, and ceasefire talks—traders see little impetus for repetition as the April 15, 11:59 PM ET deadline approaches. Realistic shifts could stem from a surprise late-day statement, interview response to Iran developments, or fresh executive action invoking similar rhetoric, though Trump's communication patterns favor predictable foreign policy framing without such flourishes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between the time of its creation and April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).

General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.

Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.

Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
音量
$263,216
終了日
2026/04/15
マーケット開始日
Apr 12, 2026, 7:55 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between the time of its creation and April 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”). General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.

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よくある質問

「トランプ大統領は4月15日までに再び神を賛美するでしょうか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「トランプは4月15日までに再びアッラーを称賛するでしょうか?」で3%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、3¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に3%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「トランプ大統領は4月15日までに再び神を賛美するでしょうか?」は$263.2Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Apr 12, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「トランプ大統領は4月15日までに再び神を賛美するでしょうか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「トランプ大統領は4月15日までに再び神を賛美するでしょうか?」の現在のリーダーは「トランプは4月15日までに再びアッラーを称賛するでしょうか?」でわずか3%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「トランプ大統領は4月15日までに再び神を賛美するでしょうか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。