Trader consensus prices "No" at 72% for President Trump repeating his "Praise be to Allah" phrase by April 30, driven by the absence of new instances since his second use on April 11 in a Truth Social post boasting of Iranian leaders' demise amid Strait of Hormuz standoffs. The initial utterance on Easter Sunday, April 5, came in profanity-laced threats demanding Iran reopen the strait, sparking backlash from Muslim organizations like CAIR while tying into escalating U.S.-Iran tensions over oil flows and potential military actions. With no fresh diplomatic breakdowns or retaliatory moves in the last week to prompt recurrence, odds reflect the situational nature of the rhetoric, though upcoming negotiations or escalations could shift probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
マーケット開始日: Apr 13, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 72% for President Trump repeating his "Praise be to Allah" phrase by April 30, driven by the absence of new instances since his second use on April 11 in a Truth Social post boasting of Iranian leaders' demise amid Strait of Hormuz standoffs. The initial utterance on Easter Sunday, April 5, came in profanity-laced threats demanding Iran reopen the strait, sparking backlash from Muslim organizations like CAIR while tying into escalating U.S.-Iran tensions over oil flows and potential military actions. With no fresh diplomatic breakdowns or retaliatory moves in the last week to prompt recurrence, odds reflect the situational nature of the rhetoric, though upcoming negotiations or escalations could shift probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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