Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 16 to 18 at 39.5% implied probability, reflecting his steady recent rhythm of 20-30 posts per day established in the prior April 13-15 window, which resolved squarely in that range amid Tesla AI advancements and Neuralink buzz driving viral engagement. The 40-64 band at 25.5% captures potential quieter days, while 90-114 at 22% accounts for upside from breaking news or reply threads, consistent with xTracker data showing a 45-post daily average over April 10-16 but adjusted for the market's 72-hour ET window. No major catalysts like launches or controversies have disrupted his habitual high-volume cultural commentary, though sudden political or SpaceX updates could swing volumes before April 18 resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日65〜89 40%
40～64 26%
90～114 22%
115〜139 9%
$215,521 Vol.
$215,521 Vol.
2026/04/18
40未満
3%
40～64
26%
65〜89
40%
90～114
22%
115〜139
9%
140～164
2%
165〜189
1%
190〜214
<1%
215～239
<1%
240以上
<1%
65〜89 40%
40～64 26%
90～114 22%
115〜139 9%
$215,521 Vol.
$215,521 Vol.
2026/04/18
40未満
$38,685 Vol.
3%
40～64
$13,126 Vol.
26%
65〜89
$8,928 Vol.
40%
90～114
$10,139 Vol.
22%
115〜139
$13,064 Vol.
9%
140～164
$13,203 Vol.
2%
165〜189
$23,006 Vol.
1%
190〜214
$28,807 Vol.
<1%
215～239
$20,870 Vol.
<1%
240以上
$46,332 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 16 to 18 at 39.5% implied probability, reflecting his steady recent rhythm of 20-30 posts per day established in the prior April 13-15 window, which resolved squarely in that range amid Tesla AI advancements and Neuralink buzz driving viral engagement. The 40-64 band at 25.5% captures potential quieter days, while 90-114 at 22% accounts for upside from breaking news or reply threads, consistent with xTracker data showing a 45-post daily average over April 10-16 but adjusted for the market's 72-hour ET window. No major catalysts like launches or controversies have disrupted his habitual high-volume cultural commentary, though sudden political or SpaceX updates could swing volumes before April 18 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
マーケット開始日： Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
音量
$215,521終了日
2026/04/18マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 16 to 18 at 39.5% implied probability, reflecting his steady recent rhythm of 20-30 posts per day established in the prior April 13-15 window, which resolved squarely in that range amid Tesla AI advancements and Neuralink buzz driving viral engagement. The 40-64 band at 25.5% captures potential quieter days, while 90-114 at 22% accounts for upside from breaking news or reply threads, consistent with xTracker data showing a 45-post daily average over April 10-16 but adjusted for the market's 72-hour ET window. No major catalysts like launches or controversies have disrupted his habitual high-volume cultural commentary, though sudden political or SpaceX updates could swing volumes before April 18 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$215,521終了日
2026/04/18マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 16 to 18 at 39.5% implied probability, reflecting his steady recent rhythm of 20-30 posts per day established in the prior April 13-15 window, which resolved squarely in that range amid Tesla AI advancements and Neuralink buzz driving viral engagement. The 40-64 band at 25.5% captures potential quieter days, while 90-114 at 22% accounts for upside from breaking news or reply threads, consistent with xTracker data showing a 45-post daily average over April 10-16 but adjusted for the market's 72-hour ET window. No major catalysts like launches or controversies have disrupted his habitual high-volume cultural commentary, though sudden political or SpaceX updates could swing volumes before April 18 resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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