Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors highs of 24-26°C for Buenos Aires on March 22, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging around 25°C amid a typical late-summer pattern. Recent model runs show a slight cooldown from earlier projections, influenced by strengthening southerly winds and increased cloud cover from an approaching low-pressure system, capping peaks below 27°C. Differentiating factors include diurnal insolation variability—full afternoon sun could push toward 26°C, while scattered clouds favor 24-25°C—and urban heat island effects amplifying readings at Aeroparque station. Historical March 22 averages hover at 25°C, with model spread reflecting uncertainty in sea breeze timing, keeping odds tightly matched.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 22?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 22?
24°C 25%
25°C 21%
26°C 16%
27°C 11%
20°C or below
3%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
8%
24°C
25%
25°C
21%
26°C
21%
27°C
11%
28°C
6%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
3%
24°C 25%
25°C 21%
26°C 16%
27°C 11%
20°C or below
3%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
8%
24°C
25%
25°C
21%
26°C
21%
27°C
11%
28°C
6%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors highs of 24-26°C for Buenos Aires on March 22, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging around 25°C amid a typical late-summer pattern. Recent model runs show a slight cooldown from earlier projections, influenced by strengthening southerly winds and increased cloud cover from an approaching low-pressure system, capping peaks below 27°C. Differentiating factors include diurnal insolation variability—full afternoon sun could push toward 26°C, while scattered clouds favor 24-25°C—and urban heat island effects amplifying readings at Aeroparque station. Historical March 22 averages hover at 25°C, with model spread reflecting uncertainty in sea breeze timing, keeping odds tightly matched.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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