Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a shift from hot, mostly clear conditions (highs near 34–36°C on September 5–6) to increased cloud cover and showers on September 8, driven by weakening subtropical high pressure and the arrival of cooler air. This pattern favors a daily maximum near 30°C, with rain and higher humidity limiting daytime heating and solar insolation. Numerical models show modest spread in precipitation timing and intensity, which directly influences whether the peak reaches 31–32°C or stays at 29°C or below. Trader odds clustered tightly around these values reflect uncertainty in the exact rain onset and model consensus ahead of final updates from regional meteorological agencies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月8日の成都の最高気温は?
30℃ 20%
31℃ 19%
32℃ 16%
29℃ 15%
26℃以下
3%
27°C
5%
28℃
5%
29℃
15%
30℃
20%
31℃
19%
32℃
16%
33°C
9%
34℃
13%
35℃
4%
36℃以上
4%
30℃ 20%
31℃ 19%
32℃ 16%
29℃ 15%
26℃以下
3%
27°C
5%
28℃
5%
29℃
15%
30℃
20%
31℃
19%
32℃
16%
33°C
9%
34℃
13%
35℃
4%
36℃以上
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a shift from hot, mostly clear conditions (highs near 34–36°C on September 5–6) to increased cloud cover and showers on September 8, driven by weakening subtropical high pressure and the arrival of cooler air. This pattern favors a daily maximum near 30°C, with rain and higher humidity limiting daytime heating and solar insolation. Numerical models show modest spread in precipitation timing and intensity, which directly influences whether the peak reaches 31–32°C or stays at 29°C or below. Trader odds clustered tightly around these values reflect uncertainty in the exact rain onset and model consensus ahead of final updates from regional meteorological agencies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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