Recent forecasts for Chengdu on September 6 show maximum temperatures clustered around 32–35°C, with model spreads reflecting uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and light precipitation timing. High pressure aloft has supported recent highs near 33–34°C, but an approaching trough may increase humidity and scattered showers, potentially capping peaks near 33°C or allowing brief clearing to reach 35°C under stronger insolation. Local basin effects and wind patterns further differentiate outcomes, as even modest cloud increases can suppress the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders price the narrow 33–35°C range highest because updated numerical guidance through early September has converged on this interval, with limited historical analogs for late-summer extremes in the region.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月6日の成都の最高気温は？
9月6日の成都の最高気温は？
34℃ 27%
33℃ 23%
35℃ 19%
36℃ 18%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
27℃以下
1%
28℃
3%
29℃
1%
30℃
3%
31℃
5%
32℃
9%
33℃
23%
34℃
27%
35℃
20%
36℃
18%
37℃以上
4%
34℃ 27%
33℃ 23%
35℃ 19%
36℃ 18%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
27℃以下
$0 Vol.
1%
28℃
$0 Vol.
3%
29℃
$0 Vol.
1%
30℃
$170 Vol.
3%
31℃
$0 Vol.
5%
32℃
$0 Vol.
9%
33℃
$2 Vol.
23%
34℃
$265 Vol.
27%
35℃
$65 Vol.
20%
36℃
$70 Vol.
18%
37℃以上
$103 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu on September 6 show maximum temperatures clustered around 32–35°C, with model spreads reflecting uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and light precipitation timing. High pressure aloft has supported recent highs near 33–34°C, but an approaching trough may increase humidity and scattered showers, potentially capping peaks near 33°C or allowing brief clearing to reach 35°C under stronger insolation. Local basin effects and wind patterns further differentiate outcomes, as even modest cloud increases can suppress the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders price the narrow 33–35°C range highest because updated numerical guidance through early September has converged on this interval, with limited historical analogs for late-summer extremes in the region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$675終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu on September 6 show maximum temperatures clustered around 32–35°C, with model spreads reflecting uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and light precipitation timing. High pressure aloft has supported recent highs near 33–34°C, but an approaching trough may increase humidity and scattered showers, potentially capping peaks near 33°C or allowing brief clearing to reach 35°C under stronger insolation. Local basin effects and wind patterns further differentiate outcomes, as even modest cloud increases can suppress the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders price the narrow 33–35°C range highest because updated numerical guidance through early September has converged on this interval, with limited historical analogs for late-summer extremes in the region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$675終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts for Chengdu on September 6 show maximum temperatures clustered around 32–35°C, with model spreads reflecting uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and light precipitation timing. High pressure aloft has supported recent highs near 33–34°C, but an approaching trough may increase humidity and scattered showers, potentially capping peaks near 33°C or allowing brief clearing to reach 35°C under stronger insolation. Local basin effects and wind patterns further differentiate outcomes, as even modest cloud increases can suppress the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders price the narrow 33–35°C range highest because updated numerical guidance through early September has converged on this interval, with limited historical analogs for late-summer extremes in the region.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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