Recent short-range forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration point to a minimum temperature of 23–25°C in Chengdu on September 6, driven by lingering high pressure, light winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. Seasonal transition toward the Huaxi autumn rain pattern is introducing increasing moisture and cloud cover, which could modestly suppress the low if showers develop earlier than expected. Historical September climatology shows typical daily minima near 21–23°C, yet current model consensus remains warmer amid the ongoing heat. Upcoming 48-hour updates from official agencies will refine cloud and precipitation timing, key variables that could shift the distribution of implied probabilities across the 20–25°C range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月6日の成都の最低気温は?
20℃以下 99%
21℃ 49%
25℃ 49%
26°C 49%
20℃以下
99%
21℃
49%
22℃
26%
23℃
28%
24°C
32%
25℃
49%
26°C
49%
27℃
49%
28℃
49%
29℃
2%
30℃以上
44%
20℃以下 99%
21℃ 49%
25℃ 49%
26°C 49%
20℃以下
99%
21℃
49%
22℃
26%
23℃
28%
24°C
32%
25℃
49%
26°C
49%
27℃
49%
28℃
49%
29℃
2%
30℃以上
44%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-range forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration point to a minimum temperature of 23–25°C in Chengdu on September 6, driven by lingering high pressure, light winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. Seasonal transition toward the Huaxi autumn rain pattern is introducing increasing moisture and cloud cover, which could modestly suppress the low if showers develop earlier than expected. Historical September climatology shows typical daily minima near 21–23°C, yet current model consensus remains warmer amid the ongoing heat. Upcoming 48-hour updates from official agencies will refine cloud and precipitation timing, key variables that could shift the distribution of implied probabilities across the 20–25°C range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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