**Latest meteorological forecasts position 17–18°C as the leading outcomes for Wellington’s September 4 maximum, reflecting northwesterly airflow that is advecting milder air masses over the region.** Models from MetService and international guidance show daytime highs reaching 16–18°C amid partly cloudy to showery conditions and strong winds, consistent with spring climatology where September averages hover near 15°C but can exceed this under favorable wind patterns. Recent runs indicate limited model spread, with no strong signals for cooler southerly changes or significant warming that would push probabilities toward 19°C or above. Traders have aligned with this consensus, as the market-implied odds closely track the most probable range from official guidance, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent any cold outbreak or rapid frontal passage. Final resolution will depend on the peak reading at the official Wellington station tomorrow.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月4日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
9月4日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
18℃ 63%
17°C 33%
19°C 6%
16℃ 3%
新規
$17,152 Vol.
新規
$17,152 Vol.
2026/09/04
12°C以下
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15℃
<1%
16℃
3%
17°C
33%
18℃
63%
19°C
6%
20°C
<1%
21℃
<1%
22°C以上
<1%
18℃ 63%
17°C 33%
19°C 6%
16℃ 3%
新規
$17,152 Vol.
新規
$17,152 Vol.
2026/09/04
12°C以下
$399 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$400 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$652 Vol.
<1%
15℃
$1,463 Vol.
<1%
16℃
$2,327 Vol.
3%
17°C
$1,718 Vol.
33%
18℃
$6,737 Vol.
63%
19°C
$1,962 Vol.
6%
20°C
$1,072 Vol.
<1%
21℃
$123 Vol.
<1%
22°C以上
$299 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest meteorological forecasts position 17–18°C as the leading outcomes for Wellington’s September 4 maximum, reflecting northwesterly airflow that is advecting milder air masses over the region.** Models from MetService and international guidance show daytime highs reaching 16–18°C amid partly cloudy to showery conditions and strong winds, consistent with spring climatology where September averages hover near 15°C but can exceed this under favorable wind patterns. Recent runs indicate limited model spread, with no strong signals for cooler southerly changes or significant warming that would push probabilities toward 19°C or above. Traders have aligned with this consensus, as the market-implied odds closely track the most probable range from official guidance, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent any cold outbreak or rapid frontal passage. Final resolution will depend on the peak reading at the official Wellington station tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$17,152終了日
2026/09/04マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest meteorological forecasts position 17–18°C as the leading outcomes for Wellington’s September 4 maximum, reflecting northwesterly airflow that is advecting milder air masses over the region.** Models from MetService and international guidance show daytime highs reaching 16–18°C amid partly cloudy to showery conditions and strong winds, consistent with spring climatology where September averages hover near 15°C but can exceed this under favorable wind patterns. Recent runs indicate limited model spread, with no strong signals for cooler southerly changes or significant warming that would push probabilities toward 19°C or above. Traders have aligned with this consensus, as the market-implied odds closely track the most probable range from official guidance, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent any cold outbreak or rapid frontal passage. Final resolution will depend on the peak reading at the official Wellington station tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$17,152終了日
2026/09/04マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Latest meteorological forecasts position 17–18°C as the leading outcomes for Wellington’s September 4 maximum, reflecting northwesterly airflow that is advecting milder air masses over the region.** Models from MetService and international guidance show daytime highs reaching 16–18°C amid partly cloudy to showery conditions and strong winds, consistent with spring climatology where September averages hover near 15°C but can exceed this under favorable wind patterns. Recent runs indicate limited model spread, with no strong signals for cooler southerly changes or significant warming that would push probabilities toward 19°C or above. Traders have aligned with this consensus, as the market-implied odds closely track the most probable range from official guidance, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent any cold outbreak or rapid frontal passage. Final resolution will depend on the peak reading at the official Wellington station tomorrow.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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