Persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover and frequent thunderstorms are suppressing daytime heating in Manila ahead of September 6, with official PAGASA guidance and multiple models projecting a maximum of 28–29°C under mostly overcast skies and high rain chances. This aligns with the current rainy-season pattern that reduces insolation compared to September climatological highs near 31°C. Short-range forecast consistency supports the market’s emphasis on 29–31°C outcomes, though minor shifts in steering flow or convective timing could allow brief clearing and a spike toward 32°C or keep readings capped at 28°C. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月6日のマニラの最高気温は?
30℃ 37%
31°C 22%
29℃ 21%
28℃ 12%
23°C以下
1%
24°C
2%
25℃
2%
26℃
4%
27℃
7%
28℃
12%
29℃
21%
30℃
37%
31°C
22%
32℃
8%
33℃以上
2%
30℃ 37%
31°C 22%
29℃ 21%
28℃ 12%
23°C以下
1%
24°C
2%
25℃
2%
26℃
4%
27℃
7%
28℃
12%
29℃
21%
30℃
37%
31°C
22%
32℃
8%
33℃以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 4, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover and frequent thunderstorms are suppressing daytime heating in Manila ahead of September 6, with official PAGASA guidance and multiple models projecting a maximum of 28–29°C under mostly overcast skies and high rain chances. This aligns with the current rainy-season pattern that reduces insolation compared to September climatological highs near 31°C. Short-range forecast consistency supports the market’s emphasis on 29–31°C outcomes, though minor shifts in steering flow or convective timing could allow brief clearing and a spike toward 32°C or keep readings capped at 28°C. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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