Persistent southwest monsoon activity, enhanced by the recent passage of Tropical Storm Pilandok, drives cloud cover and scattered to moderate rainfall across Metro Manila through September 6, limiting both daytime heating and nocturnal radiative cooling. Official forecasts from PAGASA-aligned models and global ensembles show overnight minimums clustered near 25–26 °C under high humidity (85–95 %) and southwesterly flow, consistent with September climatology for the region. The balanced market-implied probabilities across 21 °C or below, 26 °C, and 31 °C or higher reflect remaining uncertainty in exact low-level moisture, rainfall timing, and any localized clearing that could allow slightly greater cooling or retained warmth. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月6日のマニラの最低気温は？
9月6日のマニラの最低気温は？
21℃以下 69%
31°C以上 69%
23°C 49%
27℃ 49%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
21℃以下
69%
22℃
34%
23°C
49%
24℃
30%
25℃
32%
26°C
32%
27℃
49%
28℃
49%
29℃
49%
30°C
2%
31°C以上
69%
21℃以下 69%
31°C以上 69%
23°C 49%
27℃ 49%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
21℃以下
$0 Vol.
69%
22℃
$0 Vol.
34%
23°C
$0 Vol.
49%
24℃
$0 Vol.
30%
25℃
$0 Vol.
32%
26°C
$0 Vol.
32%
27℃
$0 Vol.
49%
28℃
$0 Vol.
49%
29℃
$0 Vol.
49%
30°C
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C以上
$0 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity, enhanced by the recent passage of Tropical Storm Pilandok, drives cloud cover and scattered to moderate rainfall across Metro Manila through September 6, limiting both daytime heating and nocturnal radiative cooling. Official forecasts from PAGASA-aligned models and global ensembles show overnight minimums clustered near 25–26 °C under high humidity (85–95 %) and southwesterly flow, consistent with September climatology for the region. The balanced market-implied probabilities across 21 °C or below, 26 °C, and 31 °C or higher reflect remaining uncertainty in exact low-level moisture, rainfall timing, and any localized clearing that could allow slightly greater cooling or retained warmth. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity, enhanced by the recent passage of Tropical Storm Pilandok, drives cloud cover and scattered to moderate rainfall across Metro Manila through September 6, limiting both daytime heating and nocturnal radiative cooling. Official forecasts from PAGASA-aligned models and global ensembles show overnight minimums clustered near 25–26 °C under high humidity (85–95 %) and southwesterly flow, consistent with September climatology for the region. The balanced market-implied probabilities across 21 °C or below, 26 °C, and 31 °C or higher reflect remaining uncertainty in exact low-level moisture, rainfall timing, and any localized clearing that could allow slightly greater cooling or retained warmth. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETPersistent southwest monsoon activity, enhanced by the recent passage of Tropical Storm Pilandok, drives cloud cover and scattered to moderate rainfall across Metro Manila through September 6, limiting both daytime heating and nocturnal radiative cooling. Official forecasts from PAGASA-aligned models and global ensembles show overnight minimums clustered near 25–26 °C under high humidity (85–95 %) and southwesterly flow, consistent with September climatology for the region. The balanced market-implied probabilities across 21 °C or below, 26 °C, and 31 °C or higher reflect remaining uncertainty in exact low-level moisture, rainfall timing, and any localized clearing that could allow slightly greater cooling or retained warmth. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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