Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF indicates Amsterdam will see partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds on September 6, supporting a daily maximum near 21–22°C, just above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 20.2°C. This setup follows a period of southwesterly flow and light rain on September 4–5 that has moderated temperatures without introducing cooler northerly air. Ensemble guidance shows low spread around these values, with limited potential for 24°C or higher absent stronger subsidence or clearer skies. Updated runs in the next 48 hours and any shifts in steering patterns remain the key variables that could adjust market-implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月6日のアムステルダムの最高気温は？
9月6日のアムステルダムの最高気温は？
22°C 53%
23℃ 26%
21°C 16%
24℃ 6%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
16℃以下
2%
17℃
2%
18°C
1%
19℃
4%
20℃
5%
21°C
16%
22°C
53%
23℃
19%
24℃
6%
25°C
5%
26°C以上
4%
22°C 53%
23℃ 26%
21°C 16%
24℃ 6%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
16℃以下
$0 Vol.
2%
17℃
$0 Vol.
2%
18°C
$5,133 Vol.
1%
19℃
$0 Vol.
4%
20℃
$0 Vol.
5%
21°C
$11 Vol.
16%
22°C
$69 Vol.
53%
23℃
$26 Vol.
19%
24℃
$19 Vol.
6%
25°C
$0 Vol.
5%
26°C以上
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF indicates Amsterdam will see partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds on September 6, supporting a daily maximum near 21–22°C, just above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 20.2°C. This setup follows a period of southwesterly flow and light rain on September 4–5 that has moderated temperatures without introducing cooler northerly air. Ensemble guidance shows low spread around these values, with limited potential for 24°C or higher absent stronger subsidence or clearer skies. Updated runs in the next 48 hours and any shifts in steering patterns remain the key variables that could adjust market-implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$5,257終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF indicates Amsterdam will see partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds on September 6, supporting a daily maximum near 21–22°C, just above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 20.2°C. This setup follows a period of southwesterly flow and light rain on September 4–5 that has moderated temperatures without introducing cooler northerly air. Ensemble guidance shows low spread around these values, with limited potential for 24°C or higher absent stronger subsidence or clearer skies. Updated runs in the next 48 hours and any shifts in steering patterns remain the key variables that could adjust market-implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$5,257終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF indicates Amsterdam will see partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds on September 6, supporting a daily maximum near 21–22°C, just above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 20.2°C. This setup follows a period of southwesterly flow and light rain on September 4–5 that has moderated temperatures without introducing cooler northerly air. Ensemble guidance shows low spread around these values, with limited potential for 24°C or higher absent stronger subsidence or clearer skies. Updated runs in the next 48 hours and any shifts in steering patterns remain the key variables that could adjust market-implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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