Recent forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 12–14°C for Amsterdam on September 6, driven by a high-pressure ridge promoting light southerly winds and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. Trader consensus, with 8°C or below at 34.5% and mid-teens clustered near 24%, reflects genuine model spread in boundary-layer stability and potential for clearer skies enhancing heat loss. Historical September averages around 11.7°C provide context, while upcoming 00Z and 12Z runs over the next 48 hours will narrow resolution criteria tied to official Schiphol observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月6日のアムステルダムの最低気温は?
8°C以下 69%
12℃ 50%
11℃ 49%
13℃ 49%
8°C以下
69%
9℃
40%
10°C
45%
11℃
49%
12℃
50%
13℃
49%
14℃
49%
15℃
45%
16°C
45%
17℃
8%
18℃以上
1%
8°C以下 69%
12℃ 50%
11℃ 49%
13℃ 49%
8°C以下
69%
9℃
40%
10°C
45%
11℃
49%
12℃
50%
13℃
49%
14℃
49%
15℃
45%
16°C
45%
17℃
8%
18℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 12–14°C for Amsterdam on September 6, driven by a high-pressure ridge promoting light southerly winds and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight. Trader consensus, with 8°C or below at 34.5% and mid-teens clustered near 24%, reflects genuine model spread in boundary-layer stability and potential for clearer skies enhancing heat loss. Historical September averages around 11.7°C provide context, while upcoming 00Z and 12Z runs over the next 48 hours will narrow resolution criteria tied to official Schiphol observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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