Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate a high near 30–32°C for Beijing on September 6 under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with the market’s concentration around 31–33°C, as historical September averages hover near 28°C while recent days have run 1–3°C above normal amid stable high-pressure patterns. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with cloud cover and modest moisture likely capping extremes below 34°C, though slight model variations in daytime heating could shift the peak by 1°C. Updated official guidance and afternoon observations over the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts for any adjustment in implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月6日の北京の最高気温は？
9月6日の北京の最高気温は？
32℃ 42%
31°C 22%
33℃ 20%
30℃ 12%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
26°C以下
1%
27°C
3%
28℃
3%
29℃
6%
30℃
12%
31°C
22%
32℃
42%
33℃
20%
34℃
5%
35°C
6%
36℃以上
1%
32℃ 42%
31°C 22%
33℃ 20%
30℃ 12%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
26°C以下
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
3%
28℃
$334 Vol.
3%
29℃
$0 Vol.
6%
30℃
$0 Vol.
12%
31°C
$0 Vol.
22%
32℃
$156 Vol.
42%
33℃
$44 Vol.
20%
34℃
$0 Vol.
5%
35°C
$0 Vol.
6%
36℃以上
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate a high near 30–32°C for Beijing on September 6 under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with the market’s concentration around 31–33°C, as historical September averages hover near 28°C while recent days have run 1–3°C above normal amid stable high-pressure patterns. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with cloud cover and modest moisture likely capping extremes below 34°C, though slight model variations in daytime heating could shift the peak by 1°C. Updated official guidance and afternoon observations over the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts for any adjustment in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$534終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate a high near 30–32°C for Beijing on September 6 under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with the market’s concentration around 31–33°C, as historical September averages hover near 28°C while recent days have run 1–3°C above normal amid stable high-pressure patterns. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with cloud cover and modest moisture likely capping extremes below 34°C, though slight model variations in daytime heating could shift the peak by 1°C. Updated official guidance and afternoon observations over the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts for any adjustment in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$534終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate a high near 30–32°C for Beijing on September 6 under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with the market’s concentration around 31–33°C, as historical September averages hover near 28°C while recent days have run 1–3°C above normal amid stable high-pressure patterns. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with cloud cover and modest moisture likely capping extremes below 34°C, though slight model variations in daytime heating could shift the peak by 1°C. Updated official guidance and afternoon observations over the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts for any adjustment in implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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