Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional analyses project a daytime high near 29–30°C in Shanghai on September 6, driven by persistent warm, humid air under variable cloud cover and light northerly winds. Recent days of scattered showers and overcast conditions have kept highs in the 30–32°C range, but increased precipitation chances and thicker cloud decks could limit solar heating and cap the peak closer to 28°C or below. This genuine forecast spread—arising from differences in how models handle moisture and steering patterns—explains why trader-implied odds sit near 50% across the listed thresholds rather than favoring one decisively. Updated runs from global ensembles and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely sharpen the outlook before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月6日の上海の最高気温は？
9月6日の上海の最高気温は？
28℃ 49%
26℃ 48%
27℃ 48%
30℃ 38%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
25℃以下
1%
26℃
48%
27℃
48%
28℃
49%
29℃
33%
30℃
38%
31℃
20%
32°C
20%
33℃
20%
34°C
6%
35℃以上
2%
28℃ 49%
26℃ 48%
27℃ 48%
30℃ 38%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
25℃以下
$0 Vol.
1%
26℃
$0 Vol.
48%
27℃
$0 Vol.
48%
28℃
$0 Vol.
49%
29℃
$0 Vol.
33%
30℃
$0 Vol.
38%
31℃
$0 Vol.
20%
32°C
$0 Vol.
20%
33℃
$0 Vol.
20%
34°C
$0 Vol.
6%
35℃以上
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional analyses project a daytime high near 29–30°C in Shanghai on September 6, driven by persistent warm, humid air under variable cloud cover and light northerly winds. Recent days of scattered showers and overcast conditions have kept highs in the 30–32°C range, but increased precipitation chances and thicker cloud decks could limit solar heating and cap the peak closer to 28°C or below. This genuine forecast spread—arising from differences in how models handle moisture and steering patterns—explains why trader-implied odds sit near 50% across the listed thresholds rather than favoring one decisively. Updated runs from global ensembles and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely sharpen the outlook before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional analyses project a daytime high near 29–30°C in Shanghai on September 6, driven by persistent warm, humid air under variable cloud cover and light northerly winds. Recent days of scattered showers and overcast conditions have kept highs in the 30–32°C range, but increased precipitation chances and thicker cloud decks could limit solar heating and cap the peak closer to 28°C or below. This genuine forecast spread—arising from differences in how models handle moisture and steering patterns—explains why trader-implied odds sit near 50% across the listed thresholds rather than favoring one decisively. Updated runs from global ensembles and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely sharpen the outlook before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETForecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional analyses project a daytime high near 29–30°C in Shanghai on September 6, driven by persistent warm, humid air under variable cloud cover and light northerly winds. Recent days of scattered showers and overcast conditions have kept highs in the 30–32°C range, but increased precipitation chances and thicker cloud decks could limit solar heating and cap the peak closer to 28°C or below. This genuine forecast spread—arising from differences in how models handle moisture and steering patterns—explains why trader-implied odds sit near 50% across the listed thresholds rather than favoring one decisively. Updated runs from global ensembles and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely sharpen the outlook before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問