Official National Weather Service observations at Chicago O'Hare recorded a daily minimum of 65°F early on September 8, 2026, five degrees above the 1991–2020 normal and well above historical record lows near 45°F. This single verified reading from the primary station used for such markets anchored trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for the 64–65°F bin. Mild overnight conditions under weak southerly flow and clear skies prevented further cooling, while daytime highs reached the mid-80s. Only an undetected sensor glitch or use of an alternate station could realistically shift the outcome, though both remain improbable given the consistency of preliminary climatological data and the absence of unusual atmospheric patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月8日のシカゴの最低気温は?
64〜65°F 100.0%
57°F以下 <1%
58〜59°F <1%
60~61°F <1%
$3,475 Vol.
$3,475 Vol.
57°F以下
いいえ
58〜59°F
いいえ
60~61°F
いいえ
62〜63°F
いいえ
64〜65°F
はい
66~67°F
いいえ
68~69°F
いいえ
70〜71°F
いいえ
72~73°F
いいえ
華氏74~75度
いいえ
76°F以上
いいえ
64〜65°F 100.0%
57°F以下 <1%
58〜59°F <1%
60~61°F <1%
$3,475 Vol.
$3,475 Vol.
57°F以下
いいえ
58〜59°F
いいえ
60~61°F
いいえ
62〜63°F
いいえ
64〜65°F
はい
66~67°F
いいえ
68~69°F
いいえ
70〜71°F
いいえ
72~73°F
いいえ
華氏74~75度
いいえ
76°F以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 6, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Official National Weather Service observations at Chicago O'Hare recorded a daily minimum of 65°F early on September 8, 2026, five degrees above the 1991–2020 normal and well above historical record lows near 45°F. This single verified reading from the primary station used for such markets anchored trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for the 64–65°F bin. Mild overnight conditions under weak southerly flow and clear skies prevented further cooling, while daytime highs reached the mid-80s. Only an undetected sensor glitch or use of an alternate station could realistically shift the outcome, though both remain improbable given the consistency of preliminary climatological data and the absence of unusual atmospheric patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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