Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Chicago's highest temperature at O'Hare International Airport reaching 56°F or higher on May 9, 2026, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecasts projecting daytime highs of 65-70°F under mostly sunny skies with light southwest winds. Current morning observations already exceed 50°F, aligning with model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European models showing no cooling trends, amid climatological May 9 normals of 68°F. Recent days featured cooler starts to May but a warming ridge building over the Midwest. Realistic challenges—such as an unforeseen cold front or marine layer intrusion—are absent from guidance, with final observations expected by evening from official NWS records.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chicago on May 9?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 9?
56°F or higher 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$176,568 Vol.
$176,568 Vol.
2026/05/09
37°F or below
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56°F or higher
Yes
56°F or higher 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$176,568 Vol.
$176,568 Vol.
2026/05/09
37°F or below
$18,610 Vol.
No
38-39°F
$8,930 Vol.
No
40-41°F
$12,823 Vol.
No
42-43°F
$8,854 Vol.
No
44-45°F
$12,221 Vol.
No
46-47°F
$13,563 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$11,048 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$19,949 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$15,154 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$20,628 Vol.
No
56°F or higher
$34,788 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Chicago's highest temperature at O'Hare International Airport reaching 56°F or higher on May 9, 2026, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecasts projecting daytime highs of 65-70°F under mostly sunny skies with light southwest winds. Current morning observations already exceed 50°F, aligning with model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European models showing no cooling trends, amid climatological May 9 normals of 68°F. Recent days featured cooler starts to May but a warming ridge building over the Midwest. Realistic challenges—such as an unforeseen cold front or marine layer intrusion—are absent from guidance, with final observations expected by evening from official NWS records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 7, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
音量
$176,568終了日
2026/05/09マーケット開始日
May 7, 2026, 12:28 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Chicago's highest temperature at O'Hare International Airport reaching 56°F or higher on May 9, 2026, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecasts projecting daytime highs of 65-70°F under mostly sunny skies with light southwest winds. Current morning observations already exceed 50°F, aligning with model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European models showing no cooling trends, amid climatological May 9 normals of 68°F. Recent days featured cooler starts to May but a warming ridge building over the Midwest. Realistic challenges—such as an unforeseen cold front or marine layer intrusion—are absent from guidance, with final observations expected by evening from official NWS records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$176,568終了日
2026/05/09マーケット開始日
May 7, 2026, 12:28 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Chicago's highest temperature at O'Hare International Airport reaching 56°F or higher on May 9, 2026, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecasts projecting daytime highs of 65-70°F under mostly sunny skies with light southwest winds. Current morning observations already exceed 50°F, aligning with model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European models showing no cooling trends, amid climatological May 9 normals of 68°F. Recent days featured cooler starts to May but a warming ridge building over the Midwest. Realistic challenges—such as an unforeseen cold front or marine layer intrusion—are absent from guidance, with final observations expected by evening from official NWS records.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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