Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a peak of 37–38°C on September 8 under clear skies and light southerly flow, with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation risk supporting the tight market split between those two outcomes. Recent observations show a persistent warm spell with afternoon maxima in the mid-30s, driven by subsidence and regional high pressure that limits mixing and allows strong daytime heating in Chongqing’s basin topography. Key variables differentiating 37°C versus 38°C include precise timing of peak insolation, urban heat-island effects, and minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture. Updated short-range guidance and official nowcasts expected over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月8日の重慶の最高気温は?
38℃ 42%
37°C 36%
39℃ 14%
36℃ 8%
32℃以下
1%
33°C
3%
34℃
2%
35℃
4%
36℃
8%
37°C
36%
38℃
42%
39℃
14%
40℃
4%
41℃
2%
42℃以上
3%
38℃ 42%
37°C 36%
39℃ 14%
36℃ 8%
32℃以下
1%
33°C
3%
34℃
2%
35℃
4%
36℃
8%
37°C
36%
38℃
42%
39℃
14%
40℃
4%
41℃
2%
42℃以上
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a peak of 37–38°C on September 8 under clear skies and light southerly flow, with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation risk supporting the tight market split between those two outcomes. Recent observations show a persistent warm spell with afternoon maxima in the mid-30s, driven by subsidence and regional high pressure that limits mixing and allows strong daytime heating in Chongqing’s basin topography. Key variables differentiating 37°C versus 38°C include precise timing of peak insolation, urban heat-island effects, and minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture. Updated short-range guidance and official nowcasts expected over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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