Latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting models like those aggregated by AccuWeather indicate Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 26 will peak near 32°C under partly cloudy skies, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. Midday observations at Baiyun International Airport hit 28–29°C with RealFeel values approaching 32°C due to humidity above 70%, aligning with a warming trend from prior days' 30°C highs while cloud cover limits further intensification. Trader consensus reflects this model agreement and climatological norms for April (average highs 27°C), where 35°C would require atypical prolonged sunshine or downslope winds—scenarios deemed improbable by current steering patterns and thunderstorm risks. Afternoon NMC hourly data will provide final clarity before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 26?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 26?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$68,768 Vol.
$68,768 Vol.
2026/04/26
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$68,768 Vol.
$68,768 Vol.
2026/04/26
26°C or below
$11,019 Vol.
No
27°C
$3,156 Vol.
No
28°C
$3,546 Vol.
No
29°C
$5,539 Vol.
No
30°C
$6,865 Vol.
No
31°C
$14,167 Vol.
No
32°C
$10,710 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$5,807 Vol.
No
34°C
$4,498 Vol.
No
35°C
$1,707 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$1,754 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting models like those aggregated by AccuWeather indicate Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 26 will peak near 32°C under partly cloudy skies, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. Midday observations at Baiyun International Airport hit 28–29°C with RealFeel values approaching 32°C due to humidity above 70%, aligning with a warming trend from prior days' 30°C highs while cloud cover limits further intensification. Trader consensus reflects this model agreement and climatological norms for April (average highs 27°C), where 35°C would require atypical prolonged sunshine or downslope winds—scenarios deemed improbable by current steering patterns and thunderstorm risks. Afternoon NMC hourly data will provide final clarity before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 24, 2026, 12:48 AM ET
音量
$68,768終了日
2026/04/26マーケット開始日
Apr 24, 2026, 12:48 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting models like those aggregated by AccuWeather indicate Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 26 will peak near 32°C under partly cloudy skies, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. Midday observations at Baiyun International Airport hit 28–29°C with RealFeel values approaching 32°C due to humidity above 70%, aligning with a warming trend from prior days' 30°C highs while cloud cover limits further intensification. Trader consensus reflects this model agreement and climatological norms for April (average highs 27°C), where 35°C would require atypical prolonged sunshine or downslope winds—scenarios deemed improbable by current steering patterns and thunderstorm risks. Afternoon NMC hourly data will provide final clarity before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$68,768終了日
2026/04/26マーケット開始日
Apr 24, 2026, 12:48 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting models like those aggregated by AccuWeather indicate Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 26 will peak near 32°C under partly cloudy skies, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. Midday observations at Baiyun International Airport hit 28–29°C with RealFeel values approaching 32°C due to humidity above 70%, aligning with a warming trend from prior days' 30°C highs while cloud cover limits further intensification. Trader consensus reflects this model agreement and climatological norms for April (average highs 27°C), where 35°C would require atypical prolonged sunshine or downslope winds—scenarios deemed improbable by current steering patterns and thunderstorm risks. Afternoon NMC hourly data will provide final clarity before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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