Finnish Meteorological Institute observations at Helsinki's central Kaisaniemi station confirm the highest temperature reached 12°C earlier today, May 5, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome as the market nears resolution. Cool westerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and low-level moisture in the Baltic atmospheric flow have capped daytime heating well below the early May climatological average of 14–15°C, aligning with recent forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs. While inherent weather uncertainty persists, a late-afternoon clearing and intense solar insolation could theoretically challenge this by nudging temps to 13°C, though declining sun angle and evening cooling make it improbable; final FMI data release expected post-midnight UTC.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 5?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 5?
12°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$65,581 Vol.
$65,581 Vol.
2026/05/05
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$65,581 Vol.
$65,581 Vol.
2026/05/05
6°C or below
$2,473 Vol.
No
7°C
$464 Vol.
No
8°C
$719 Vol.
No
9°C
$1,848 Vol.
No
10°C
$2,735 Vol.
No
11°C
$4,104 Vol.
No
12°C
$11,314 Vol.
Yes
13°C
$7,037 Vol.
No
14°C
$10,333 Vol.
No
15°C
$12,229 Vol.
No
16°C or higher
$12,323 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Finnish Meteorological Institute observations at Helsinki's central Kaisaniemi station confirm the highest temperature reached 12°C earlier today, May 5, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome as the market nears resolution. Cool westerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and low-level moisture in the Baltic atmospheric flow have capped daytime heating well below the early May climatological average of 14–15°C, aligning with recent forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs. While inherent weather uncertainty persists, a late-afternoon clearing and intense solar insolation could theoretically challenge this by nudging temps to 13°C, though declining sun angle and evening cooling make it improbable; final FMI data release expected post-midnight UTC.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$65,581終了日
2026/05/05マーケット開始日
May 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Finnish Meteorological Institute observations at Helsinki's central Kaisaniemi station confirm the highest temperature reached 12°C earlier today, May 5, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome as the market nears resolution. Cool westerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and low-level moisture in the Baltic atmospheric flow have capped daytime heating well below the early May climatological average of 14–15°C, aligning with recent forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs. While inherent weather uncertainty persists, a late-afternoon clearing and intense solar insolation could theoretically challenge this by nudging temps to 13°C, though declining sun angle and evening cooling make it improbable; final FMI data release expected post-midnight UTC.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$65,581終了日
2026/05/05マーケット開始日
May 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Finnish Meteorological Institute observations at Helsinki's central Kaisaniemi station confirm the highest temperature reached 12°C earlier today, May 5, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome as the market nears resolution. Cool westerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and low-level moisture in the Baltic atmospheric flow have capped daytime heating well below the early May climatological average of 14–15°C, aligning with recent forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs. While inherent weather uncertainty persists, a late-afternoon clearing and intense solar insolation could theoretically challenge this by nudging temps to 13°C, though declining sun angle and evening cooling make it improbable; final FMI data release expected post-midnight UTC.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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