Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between 80-81°F (36%) and 82-83°F (31.5%) for Houston's highest temperature on March 29, driven by the latest National Weather Service Houston/Galveston guidance and model ensembles showing a post-cold frontal rebound under building high pressure. A front swept through March 28, limiting today's highs to the upper 60s-70s amid northeasterly winds, but Sunday forecasts indicate partly sunny skies, lighter winds, and subsidence warming, aligning with March 26's observed 82°F peak during a recent warm spell. Differentiating factors include GFS and ECMWF consensus near 81°F versus ensemble spreads capturing cloud cover variability and potential onshore flow persistence, which could cap peaks at 78-79°F (14.5%); new 12Z model runs expected midday will refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月29日のヒューストンの最高気温は?
3月29日のヒューストンの最高気温は?
80~81°F 35%
82〜83°F 32%
78~79°F 15%
84~85°F 11%
73°F以下
2%
74〜75°F
2%
76〜77°F
2%
78~79°F
15%
80~81°F
35%
82〜83°F
32%
84~85°F
11%
86〜87°F
3%
88~89°F
2%
90~91°F
1%
92°F以上
<1%
80~81°F 35%
82〜83°F 32%
78~79°F 15%
84~85°F 11%
73°F以下
2%
74〜75°F
2%
76〜77°F
2%
78~79°F
15%
80~81°F
35%
82〜83°F
32%
84~85°F
11%
86〜87°F
3%
88~89°F
2%
90~91°F
1%
92°F以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 25, 2026, 6:09 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between 80-81°F (36%) and 82-83°F (31.5%) for Houston's highest temperature on March 29, driven by the latest National Weather Service Houston/Galveston guidance and model ensembles showing a post-cold frontal rebound under building high pressure. A front swept through March 28, limiting today's highs to the upper 60s-70s amid northeasterly winds, but Sunday forecasts indicate partly sunny skies, lighter winds, and subsidence warming, aligning with March 26's observed 82°F peak during a recent warm spell. Differentiating factors include GFS and ECMWF consensus near 81°F versus ensemble spreads capturing cloud cover variability and potential onshore flow persistence, which could cap peaks at 78-79°F (14.5%); new 12Z model runs expected midday will refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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