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3月29日のヒューストンの最高気温は?

Market icon

3月29日のヒューストンの最高気温は?

80~81°F 35%

82〜83°F 32%

78~79°F 15%

84~85°F 11%

Polymarket
NEW

80~81°F 35%

82〜83°F 32%

78~79°F 15%

84~85°F 11%

Polymarket
NEW

73°F以下

$933 Vol.

2%

74〜75°F

$334 Vol.

2%

76〜77°F

$214 Vol.

2%

78~79°F

$292 Vol.

15%

80~81°F

$386 Vol.

35%

82〜83°F

$299 Vol.

32%

84~85°F

$341 Vol.

11%

86〜87°F

$230 Vol.

3%

88~89°F

$1,105 Vol.

2%

90~91°F

$592 Vol.

1%

92°F以上

$1,209 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between 80-81°F (36%) and 82-83°F (31.5%) for Houston's highest temperature on March 29, driven by the latest National Weather Service Houston/Galveston guidance and model ensembles showing a post-cold frontal rebound under building high pressure. A front swept through March 28, limiting today's highs to the upper 60s-70s amid northeasterly winds, but Sunday forecasts indicate partly sunny skies, lighter winds, and subsidence warming, aligning with March 26's observed 82°F peak during a recent warm spell. Differentiating factors include GFS and ECMWF consensus near 81°F versus ensemble spreads capturing cloud cover variability and potential onshore flow persistence, which could cap peaks at 78-79°F (14.5%); new 12Z model runs expected midday will refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between 80-81°F (36%) and 82-83°F (31.5%) for Houston's highest temperature on March 29, driven by the latest National Weather Service Houston/Galveston guidance and model ensembles showing a post-cold frontal rebound under building high pressure. A front swept through March 28, limiting today's highs to the upper 60s-70s amid northeasterly winds, but Sunday forecasts indicate partly sunny skies, lighter winds, and subsidence warming, aligning with March 26's observed 82°F peak during a recent warm spell. Differentiating factors include GFS and ECMWF consensus near 81°F versus ensemble spreads capturing cloud cover variability and potential onshore flow persistence, which could cap peaks at 78-79°F (14.5%); new 12Z model runs expected midday will refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between 80-81°F (36%) and 82-83°F (31.5%) for Houston's highest temperature on March 29, driven by the latest National Weather Service Houston/Galveston guidance and model ensembles showing a post-cold frontal rebound under building high pressure. A front swept through March 28, limiting today's highs to the upper 60s-70s amid northeasterly winds, but Sunday forecasts indicate partly sunny skies, lighter winds, and subsidence warming, aligning with March 26's observed 82°F peak during a recent warm spell. Differentiating factors include GFS and ECMWF consensus near 81°F versus ensemble spreads capturing cloud cover variability and potential onshore flow persistence, which could cap peaks at 78-79°F (14.5%); new 12Z model runs expected midday will refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race between 80-81°F (36%) and 82-83°F (31.5%) for Houston's highest temperature on March 29, driven by the latest National Weather Service Houston/Galveston guidance and model ensembles showing a post-cold frontal rebound under building high pressure. A front swept through March 28, limiting today's highs to the upper 60s-70s amid northeasterly winds, but Sunday forecasts indicate partly sunny skies, lighter winds, and subsidence warming, aligning with March 26's observed 82°F peak during a recent warm spell. Differentiating factors include GFS and ECMWF consensus near 81°F versus ensemble spreads capturing cloud cover variability and potential onshore flow persistence, which could cap peaks at 78-79°F (14.5%); new 12Z model runs expected midday will refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「3月29日のヒューストンの最高気温は?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「80~81°F」で35%、次いで「82〜83°F」が32%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、35¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に35%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「3月29日のヒューストンの最高気温は?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Mar 25, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「3月29日のヒューストンの最高気温は?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「3月29日のヒューストンの最高気温は?」の現在のフロントランナーは「80~81°F」で35%であり、市場がこの結果に35%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「82〜83°F」で32%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「3月29日のヒューストンの最高気温は?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。