Latest Environment Canada forecasts and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS project Toronto's highest temperature on March 29 reaching around 10-12°C under a building high-pressure ridge steering mild southerly flow into the region, driving trader consensus toward 48.5% implied probability for 10°C or higher. Recent observations show March 28 highs near 9°C with clearing skies overnight, supporting slight warming, while springtime frontal boundary uncertainties keep 9°C (21.5%) and 8°C (12.0%) viable as models diverge on cloud cover and timing. Historical late-March averages hover at 6-8°C, but this setup favors above-normal warmth; watch for 6 a.m. ET updates from Environment Canada, with observations resolving the market by midnight UTC.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Toronto on March 29?
Highest temperature in Toronto on March 29?
10°C or higher 50%
9°C 22%
7°C 11%
8°C 11%
0°C or below
<1%
1°C
1%
2°C
4%
3°C
2%
4°C
3%
5°C
4%
6°C
6%
7°C
11%
8°C
11%
9°C
22%
10°C or higher
54%
10°C or higher 50%
9°C 22%
7°C 11%
8°C 11%
0°C or below
<1%
1°C
1%
2°C
4%
3°C
2%
4°C
3%
5°C
4%
6°C
6%
7°C
11%
8°C
11%
9°C
22%
10°C or higher
54%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Environment Canada forecasts and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS project Toronto's highest temperature on March 29 reaching around 10-12°C under a building high-pressure ridge steering mild southerly flow into the region, driving trader consensus toward 48.5% implied probability for 10°C or higher. Recent observations show March 28 highs near 9°C with clearing skies overnight, supporting slight warming, while springtime frontal boundary uncertainties keep 9°C (21.5%) and 8°C (12.0%) viable as models diverge on cloud cover and timing. Historical late-March averages hover at 6-8°C, but this setup favors above-normal warmth; watch for 6 a.m. ET updates from Environment Canada, with observations resolving the market by midnight UTC.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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