Official measurements from the King Abdulaziz International Airport meteorological station—the market's resolution source—confirm Jeddah's highest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 35°C, locking in trader consensus at a 100% implied probability. This matches pre-event forecast consensus from models like those powering AccuWeather and Weather.com, which projected highs near 35°C under mostly sunny skies and light winds typical of early May climatology, when regional averages hover around 36°C but recent cloudy patterns slightly moderated heat buildup. Scenarios challenging this would involve rare post-validation data revisions by Saudi Arabia's National Center for Meteorology (NCM), such as instrument recalibration errors, though historical precedents show such adjustments occur in under 1% of cases.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 9?
35°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$45,162 Vol.
$45,162 Vol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$45,162 Vol.
$45,162 Vol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 7, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official measurements from the King Abdulaziz International Airport meteorological station—the market's resolution source—confirm Jeddah's highest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 35°C, locking in trader consensus at a 100% implied probability. This matches pre-event forecast consensus from models like those powering AccuWeather and Weather.com, which projected highs near 35°C under mostly sunny skies and light winds typical of early May climatology, when regional averages hover around 36°C but recent cloudy patterns slightly moderated heat buildup. Scenarios challenging this would involve rare post-validation data revisions by Saudi Arabia's National Center for Meteorology (NCM), such as instrument recalibration errors, though historical precedents show such adjustments occur in under 1% of cases.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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