Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international services project a high of 30–32°C in Jinan on September 22 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds, well above the 26°C threshold. This reflects a persistent warm spell associated with large-scale atmospheric patterns that have sustained above-normal temperatures across northern China in recent days, consistent with historical late-September maxima but elevated relative to the long-term average high near 26°C. Trader consensus at 97.5% for 26°C or higher aligns with this strong model agreement and minimal precipitation risk. An abrupt cold-air intrusion or major forecast revision in the final hours could theoretically lower readings, though current guidance shows little indication of such a shift before resolution.